FNUS75 KBOU 221014 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR INDIAN GULCH FIRE...COUNTY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 412 AM MDT TUE MAR 22 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM MDT TONIGHT... .DISCUSSION...GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING BEHIND A COLD FRONT THAT HAS MOVED ACROSS THE AREA. LITTLE ADDITIONAL SHOWER ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED AFTER 6 AM. IN FACT THE AIRMASS WILL DRY OUT THE REST OF THE DAY AS STRONG DOWNSLOPE WINDS DEVELOP. THE WIND WILL BE STRONGEST LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING. IN ADDITION TO THE RED FLAG WARNING...A HIGH WIND WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WITH PEAK WIND GUSTS 65 TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE AT THAT TIME. IT WILL BE COOLER TODAY WITH SOME RECOVERY THIS MORNING WITH THE HELP OF THE SHOWERS THAT MOVED ACROSS THE AREA. THE RED FLAG IS MARGINAL BUT IT IS HARD TO IGNORE THE VERY STRONG WIND POTENTIAL FOR LATER TODAY. THE STRONGER WINDS GUSTS ARE EXPECTED PRIOR TO 10 PM...GUSTY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS SHOULD PERSIST OVERNIGHT. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....56. MIN HUMIDITY........15-19%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......VERY WINDY. WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH UNTIL 1200. 30-45 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH AFTER 1600. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 28 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 29-40 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 15000-16000 FT AGL AFTER 1500. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 0800. EXCELLENT AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........4 LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%). MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-36. MAX HUMIDITY........32-35%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......VERY WINDY. WEST WINDS 31-41 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN 20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 41-52 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......13600 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 3400-4400 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT UNTIL 1900. VERY GOOD AFTER 2400. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-60. MIN HUMIDITY........6-12%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 29-40 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4600 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 8600-9600 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN EXCELLENT UNTIL 1600...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. WEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL 0600. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR INDIAN GULCH FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/22-01 61 20 44 31 SW 17 1 1444 SW 41 53013 F 03/22-02 61 20 43 34 W 16 1 1321 SW 38 44455 F 03/22-03 61 20 41 37 W 16 25 2 1 SW59 1199 SW 35 35898 P 03/22-04 61 20 42 36 W 17 1 1826 W 32 48532 F 03/22-05 61 20 42 37 W 18 1 2454 W 30 61167 G 03/22-06 65 2 41 37 W 20 31 2 1 SW31 3081 W 28 73802 G 03/22-07 65 2 38 39 W 18 1 3889 W 28 92996 G 03/22-08 65 2 39 36 W 16 1 4698 W 28 112189 V 03/22-09 65 2 42 30 W 16 25 2 1 SW17 5506 W 28 131383 V 03/22-10 65 2 45 25 W 18 1 7942 W 28 187204 E 03/22-11 65 2 48 22 W 22 1 10379 W 28 243026 E 03/22-12 65 2 51 19 W 25 40 2 1 W 6 12815 W 26 298847 E 03/22-13 65 2 54 17 W 29 1 14012 W 29 355782 E 03/22-14 65 2 55 16 W 31 1 15210 W 31 412718 E 03/22-15 65 2 56 16 W 39 62 4 1 W13 16407 W 33 469653 E 03/22-16 65 2 56 16 W 40 1 15491 W 37 489678 E 03/22-17 65 2 55 17 W 40 1 14575 W 40 509703 E 03/22-18 35 5 53 19 W 39 62 2 1 NW26 13659 W 45 529728 E 03/22-19 35 5 50 21 W 36 1 10842 W 46 426782 E 03/22-20 35 5 46 24 W 32 1 8024 W 47 323836 E 03/22-21 35 5 44 25 W 29 46 4 1 NW12 5206 W 48 220890 E 03/22-22 35 5 42 27 W 26 1 4758 W 47 196729 E 03/22-23 35 5 41 28 W 25 1 4310 W 46 172568 E 03/23-00 32 0 39 30 W 25 40 5 1 NW 5 3862 W 44 148407 V 03/23-01 32 0 37 32 W 26 1 3765 W 45 147671 V 03/23-02 32 0 36 34 W 26 1 3668 W 46 146934 V 03/23-03 32 0 35 35 W 25 40 3 1 NW16 3570 W 47 146198 V 03/23-04 32 0 35 35 W 21 1 3410 W 46 136279 V 03/23-05 32 0 35 35 W 15 1 3249 W 45 126361 V 03/23-06 17 0 35 34 W 10 16 3 1 NW23 3089 W 44 116444 V 03/23-07 17 0 33 35 W 8 1 3239 W 39 107492 V 03/23-08 17 0 34 31 W 7 1 3388 W 33 98540 G 03/23-09 17 0 38 23 W 7 7 3 1 NW23 3538 W 29 89588 G 03/23-10 17 0 42 17 W 5 1 4909 W 26 104034 V 03/23-11 17 0 46 12 W 2 1 6280 W 23 118480 V 03/23-12 19 0 50 9 CALM 1 3 1 W35 7650 W 20 132926 V 03/23-13 19 0 54 7 W 3 1 8441 W 21 148518 V 03/23-14 19 0 57 6 W 7 1 9231 W 21 164111 E 03/23-15 19 0 58 6 W 9 9 2 1 W35 10022 W 21 179703 E 03/23-16 19 0 58 6 NW 9 1 9732 W 17 144623 V 03/23-17 19 0 57 6 N 9 1 9443 W 13 109543 V 03/23-18 17 0 54 7 NE 8 8 2 1 W31 9153 SW 9 74463 G 03/23-19 17 0 51 9 NE 7 1 7174 SW 8 56136 F 03/23-20 17 0 47 13 NE 6 1 5194 SE 8 37808 P 03/23-21 17 0 45 17 NE 5 5 2 1 SW30 3215 SE 7 19481 P 03/23-22 17 0 43 23 E 3 1 2893 SE 8 19387 P 03/23-23 17 0 42 27 SE 2 1 2571 SE 9 19292 P 03/24-00 45 0 39 34 S 2 2 2 1 SW36 2249 SE 10 19198 P 03/24-01 45 0 37 38 SW 2 1 1994 SE 8 14985 P 03/24-02 45 0 36 40 W 3 1 1740 S 7 10772 P 03/24-03 45 0 34 42 N 3 3 2 1 SW39 1486 S 5 6560 P 03/24-04 45 0 35 41 N 3 1 1579 S 6 8048 P 03/24-05 45 0 35 41 N 5 1 1673 S 7 9537 P 03/24-06 36 0 34 41 N 5 5 2 1 SW37 1766 S 7 11026 P 03/24-07 36 0 32 44 NE 5 1 2009 S 8 14635 P 03/24-08 36 0 33 41 NE 5 1 2251 S 9 18244 P 03/24-09 36 0 38 32 NE 5 5 2 1 SW37 2493 SW 10 21853 P 03/24-10 36 0 42 27 E 8 1 3511 SW 15 54110 F 03/24-11 36 0 47 22 S 12 1 4528 SW 20 86367 G 03/24-12 36 1 52 18 S 14 22 2 1 SW44 5545 SW 24 118624 V 03/24-13 36 1 56 14 S 17 1 6989 SW 26 169518 E 03/24-14 36 1 58 11 SW 20 1 8434 SW 29 220413 E 03/24-15 36 1 60 10 SW 20 32 3 1 SW45 9878 SW 31 271307 E 03/24-16 36 1 60 9 SW 20 1 9756 SW 33 284700 E 03/24-17 36 1 59 9 SW 17 1 9634 SW 36 298093 E 03/24-18 38 0 56 9 W 15 24 2 1 SW51 9512 SW 38 311486 E 03/24-19 38 0 53 11 W 14 1 8023 W 37 259797 E 03/24-20 38 0 49 14 W 14 1 6533 W 37 208108 E 03/24-21 38 0 47 18 W 14 22 2 1 SW36 5044 W 36 156419 E 03/24-22 38 0 44 22 W 15 1 4658 W 37 148022 V 03/24-23 38 0 43 26 W 16 1 4273 W 38 139626 V 03/25-00 37 0 41 32 W 17 28 3 1 W39 3888 W 39 131229 V 03/25-01 37 0 39 38 W 20 1 3417 W 37 110899 V 03/25-02 37 0 38 44 W 22 1 2946 W 35 90570 G 03/25-03 37 0 36 50 W 22 35 3 1 W43 2476 W 32 70240 G 03/25-04 37 0 37 51 W 21 1 2438 W 33 70962 G 03/25-05 37 0 37 52 W 18 1 2401 W 35 71684 G 03/25-06 38 8 36 52 W 16 25 4 1 W39 2363 W 36 72406 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JEFFCO REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110322.INDIA.01/BOU