FNUS75 KGJT 221440
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR CROWN PILES...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
840 AM MDT TUE MAR 22 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON MARCH 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOOK FOR PERIODIC SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY AS ANOTHER WAVE ROTATES
AROUND THE BACKSIDE OF THE LATEST STORM SYSTEM. BY THE AFTERNOON
CONDITIONS WILL BECOME MORE CONVECTIVE WITH POSSIBLE BREAKS IN THE
CLOUDS BETWEEN SHOWERS. ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90%). NUMEROUS SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....31-36 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE. BECOMING WEST 10-15 MPH
                    AFTER NOON WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80%) THEN BECOMING PARTLY
                    CLOUDY (50-60%). SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....11-16 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 8-12 MPH IN THE EARLY EVENING...THEN
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 3-5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LOWERING TO LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL BY MID
                    EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 MPH IN THE EARLY EVENING...THEN
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 5 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ELLEN HEFFERNAN
REQUESTED BY...SAM DEARSTYNE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110322.CROWN.01/GJT