FNUS71 KILN 212016
FWSILN

SPOT FORECAST FOR LLOYD WMA...KY DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
416 PM EDT MON MAR 21 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MARCH 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PUSH DOWN INTO THE REGION TODAY AND THEN
REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH MID WEEK. THIS WILL RESULT IN A
THREAT FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HUMIDITY
WILL REMAIN ON THE HIGH SIDE WITH THE BOUNDARY PROVIDING BROAD
UPWARD MOTION AND CLOUD COVER. ANY SHOWERS THAT MAY BE IN PLACE
EARLY IN THE DAY WILL LIFT NORTH QUICKLY AND BE VERY LIGHT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3600-4900 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 20 TO 29 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 14
                    MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO
                    17 TO 25 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............66  65  64  64  63  65  67  69
WEATHER COV.........SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........TSM TSM TSM
TEMP................60  62  66  69  71  72  73  73
RH..................81  77  69  62  58  56  53  53
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD......3   4   5   5   6   6   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.....5   5       10  10  15  15  15
CHC OF PCPN (%).....20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-5100 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 2400-4000 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 28 TO 37 MPH...INCREASING TO 41 TO 49
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............71     76     73     69     66     76
WEATHER COV.........                                   S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM
TEMP................72     67     64     62     62     61
RH..................54     63     68     71     71     75
20 FT WIND..........SW 6   SW 5   SW 5   SW 5   SW 6   SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....15                   10     10     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10     10     10     10     10     20

$$
FORECASTER...FRANKS
REQUESTED BY...JOSH LILLPOP
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110322.LLOYD.01/ILN