FNUS73 KJKL 222355
FWSJKL

SPOT FORECAST FOR BALD ROCK...USDA - DANIEL BOONE NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
755 PM EDT TUE MAR 22 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1941 EDT ON MARCH 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WINDS SLACKENING AND HUMIDITY RISING...

.DISCUSSION...THE BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL DIE DOWN SHORTLY AS THE
RELATIVELY DRY HUMIDITY QUICKLY REBOUNDS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
HOURS. A STRONG AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK EASTWARD ALONG A
FRONT TO OUR NORTH LATER TONIGHT AND ON WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BRING
INCREASING SOUTHWEST WINDS...WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH ON WEDNESDAY. IT
WILL ALSO BRING A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BY
MIDDAY...WITH A POTENTIAL FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
AREA...INTO THE EARLY EVENING. ONCE THE LOW PASSES BY...A COLD FRONT
TRAILING FROM IT WILL PASS THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS FRONT
WILL LEAD TO A CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN THAT WILL SEND OUR
TEMPERATURES FROM NEAR RECORD WARMTH AT THE START OF THE WEEK TO
BELOW NORMAL FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
                    A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER TOWARDS DAWN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 EARLY THEN LIGHT.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 EARLY THEN LIGHT.
POP.................20 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM   6 AM
SKY (%).........50     46     41     38     46     51
WEATHER COV.....                                   S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
TEMP............73     69     66     64     61     59
RH..............27     48     58     66     73     77
20 FT WIND......SW 10  SW 4   SW 2   SW 2   SW 2   SW 3
20 FT WIND GUST.14     7      5      5      5      5

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    LATE AFTERNOON...THEN THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN
                    THE EARLY EVENING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH.
SURROUNDING RIDGE...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10
                    TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10
                    TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
POP.................70 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 24 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........58     66     82     81     71     89
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP............59     62     65     68     71     71
RH..............78     74     67     54     55     55
20 FT WIND......SW 6   SW 10  SW 13  SW 14  W 14   W 12
20 FT WIND GUST.10     20     25     25     25     20

$$
FORECASTER...GREIF
REQUESTED BY...DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110322.BALDR.01/JKL