FNUS73 KLSX 221250
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR REIFSNIDER PIT BURN...MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
750 AM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MARCH 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE TODAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. THERE
IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE PRESCRIBED BURN AREA EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...
SHIFTING THE WIND TO THE WEST. THERE IS AN INCREASED FIRE DANGER ON
WEDNESDAY DUE TO THE LOWER RELATIVE HUMIIDTY VALUES FORECAST BEHIND
THE FRONT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........72 AT IGNITION...MAX 78.
RH..................51 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH WIND AT 10 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........WINDS SOUTH AT 15 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...2000 FT AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....FAIR (7855 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 54.
RH..................MAX 84 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTHWEST WIND 10 MPH...GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTHWEST WIND 15 MPH...GUSTS TO 20 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 72.
RH..................MIN 24 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....WEST WIND 10 MPH...GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........WEST WIND 20 MPH...GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......WEST AROUND 30 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....VERY GOOD (23315 M 2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...CVKING
REQUESTED BY...JEFF BAKAMEYER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110322.REIFS.01/LSX