FNUS76 KMFR 221436
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR KENO 5...BLM LAD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
736 AM PDT TUE MAR 22 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON MARCH 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AS WEAK DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE
SOUTHWEST THERE IS  A CHANCE FOR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
 MORNING...OTHERWISE PLAN ON A DRY DAY. A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE CALIFORNIA COAST LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS LOW IS EXPECTED TO BRING SOME MOISTURE
NORTH TO THE BURN AREA LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
BRINGING A HIGHER CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION. SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST
WINDS ARE ALSO EXPECTED TO INCREASE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY.

A SECOND STRONGER LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE
AREA THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT BRINGING RAINING TURNING TO
SNOW. THIS SECOND LOW WILL ALSO BRING BREEZY AND GUSTY WINDS
THURSDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE IN
                    THE MORNING. DRY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-43.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 0-2 MPH IN THE MORNING. SOUTH 3-5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000-6000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 MPH IN THE MORNING. SOUTH 8-17 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT IN THE MORNING. 5 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. LIGHT SNOW DEVELOPING LATE
                    IN THE NIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-30.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3-6 MPH WITH A FEW GUST TO
                    13 MPH...BECOMING EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS5 TO 8 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS OF 15 TO 18 MPH LATE IN THE NIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL IN THE EARLY EVENING DECREASING TO
                    500-1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 8 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SNOW LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN  SNOW
                    MIXING WITH RAIN AT TIMES IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-43.
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8-16 WITH OCCASIONAL GUST TO 22 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 20 TO 35 MPH.
CWR.................80 PERCENT.


$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...DAVE CANTRELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110322.KENO5.01/MFR