FNUS72 KMHX 221415 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR TWIFORD FARM...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 1015 AM EDT TUE MAR 22 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 22. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A BACKDOOR COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON. THE FRONT WILL LIFT BACK OUT TO THE NORTHEAST WEDNESDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH FROM THE NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND BECOME STATIONARY NEAR THE GULF COAST ON FRIDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL TEMPORARILY BUILD IN FROM THE NORTH FRIDAY. THE FRONT TO THE SOUTH WILL LIFT BACK NORTH INTO THE STATE ON SATURDAY AND BECOME STATIONARY INTO SUNDAY. LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT AND PULL THE FRONT TO THE SOUTHEAST MONDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY THIS AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70. MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 2000 TO 2500 FT AGL THIS AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING NORTH 12 TO 15 MPH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............39 53 58 65 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................63 62 60 59 RH..................72 70 67 64 20 FT WIND (MPH)....N 10 N 13 NE 13 NE 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX........4 4 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50. MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............68 73 80 90 97 90 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP................58 56 53 52 51 51 RH..................67 72 77 80 83 86 20 FT WIND (MPH)....NE 10 E 9 E 9 SE 10 SE 10 SE 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY EARLY...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75. MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-400 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............80 72 58 40 27 33 WEATHER COV.........S CHC S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE TEMP................50 53 66 74 77 79 RH..................96 89 56 43 39 35 20 FT WIND (MPH)....E 8 E 6 E 6 E 3 S 3 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.....10 5 5 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...DAIL REQUESTED BY...DONNIE HARRIS TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110322.TWIFO.01/MHX