FNUS74 KMRX 221042
FWSMRX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELBOW CREEK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
642 AM EDT TUE MAR 22 2011

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY OVER THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION...WITH A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
AFFECTING THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE
FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN AFFECT THE REGION BY
SATURDAY NIGHT...BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........62 AT IGNITION...MAX 79.
RH..................68 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AROUND 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT MSL...5600 FT MSL.
BOTTOM MIX HGT AGL..4200 FT AGL.
TOP MIX HGT AGL.....3950 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 17 MPH.
DISPERSION..........53.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........36     40     45     46     46     46
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............58     66     72     76     78     75
RH..............70     52     40     32     28     35
20 FT WIND......W 4    W 6    SW 7   SW 9   SW 10  SW 7
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     13     15     17     15


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDINESS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50.
RH..................MAX 95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT MSL...SURFACE-BASED INVERSION DEVELOPING SHORTLY
                    AFTER SUNSET.
BOTTOM MIX HGT AGL..BECOMING 0 AFTER SUNSET.
TOP MIX HGT AGL.....BECOMING 0 AFTER SUNSET.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 8 MPH.
DISPERSION..........BECOMING 0 AFTER SUNSET.


.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73.
RH..................MIN 44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT MSL...5000 FT MSL.
BOTTOM MIX HGT AGL..3600 FT AGL.
TOP MIX HGT AGL.....3350 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 25 MPH.
DISPERSION..........64.

$$

FORECASTER...DAVID GAFFIN
REQUESTED BY...CHAD COOK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110322.ELBOW.01/MRX