FNUS73 KSGF 221652
FWSSGF

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROARING RIVER MDC DNR - OLD MOUNTAIN MAID RXB...MO DEPT OF CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1152 AM CDT TUE MAR 22 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CDT ON MARCH 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A MUCH DRIER AIRMASS WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION OVERNIGHT BEHIND
A DEPARTING STORM SYSTEM. MEANWHILE...TEMPERATURES WILL WARM
QUICKLY ON WEDNESDAY WITH CLEARING SKIES AND THE DRY AIRMASS.
HIGHS WILL BE IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S...WITH AFTERNOON RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES FALLING INTO THE 20 TO 25 PERCENT RANGE. WINDS WILL
INCREASE OUT OF THE WEST ON WEDNESDAY...WITH 20 FOOT WINDS IN THE
9 TO 16 MPH RANGE. GOOD GUST POTENTIAL WILL ALSO EXIST DUE TO HIGH
MIXING HEIGHTS. WIND GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH ARE EXPECTED DURING THE
EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON PERIOD.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 22 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 9 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 26
                    MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 17 TO 25 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............55  55  55  58  61  65  67  69  71  73  74  72
RH..............81  81  77  65  54  42  34  29  26  24  23  26
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..4   4   5   6   8   9   11  12  13  13  12  10
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   7   11  14  17  19  22  24  26  26  20
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.9 2.6 3.3 3.9 4.5 4.9 5.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.22  18  17  17  18  20  21  22  23  24  25  25
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4

$$
FORECASTER...SCHAUMANN
REQUESTED BY...J L  BUCK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110322.ROARI.01/SGF