FNUS75 KBOU 231701 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR INDIAN GULCH FIRE...MUIR IMT1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 1100 AM MDT WED MAR 23 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...WEST WINDS WILL GUST UP TO 40 MPH THROUGH MID MORNING AND THEN DECREASE...BECOMING LIGHT OUT OF THE EAST THIS AFTERNOON. A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING MILD AND DRY CONDITIONS TODAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS AND LOWER TEENS THIS AFTERNOON. AN APPROACHING TROUGH ON THURSDAY WILL CAUSE SOUTHWEST WINDS TO INCREASE DURING THE DAY. IT WILL REMAIN DRY AND STABLE WITH HUMIDITIES AGAIN DROPPING TO NEAR 10 PERCENT. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-57. MIN HUMIDITY........7-10%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 13-23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH DECREASING TO 6-14 MPH BY 1200...THEN UPSLOPE/ UPVALLEY 6-10 MPH AFTER 1500. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-6400 FT AGL UNTIL 1200...THEN 9200-10200 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1600. GOOD AFTER 1700. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-30. MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 50%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 6-12 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......9600 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. 1000-1200 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....54. MIN HUMIDITY........10%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHEAST 5-12 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN WEST 12-17 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12-20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN 24-32 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100. 12000-12800 FT AGL AFTER 1500. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1700. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL 0600...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL 1800. CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 0600. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR INDIAN GULCH FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/23-10 6 0 43 13 NW 14 1 5003 W 21 80396 G 03/23-11 6 0 46 11 NW 12 1 6601 W 17 90252 G 03/23-12 6 0 50 9 NW 10 10 3 1 W23 8198 W 14 100108 V 03/23-13 6 0 54 8 W 7 1 8977 W 14 109420 V 03/23-14 6 0 56 7 SW 5 1 9756 W 14 118732 V 03/23-15 6 0 57 7 S 3 3 2 1 W28 10536 W 14 128044 V 03/23-16 6 0 58 7 S 6 1 10249 W 10 98741 G 03/23-17 6 0 56 7 E 9 1 9962 W 8 69438 G 03/23-18 15 0 53 7 NE 12 12 2 1 W25 9676 W 5 40134 F 03/23-19 15 0 49 9 NE 9 1 7374 SW 6 32408 P 03/23-20 15 0 45 12 N 6 1 5073 S 6 24681 P 03/23-21 15 0 43 14 N 2 2 2 1 SW23 2771 SE 7 16954 P 03/23-22 15 0 41 20 CALM 1 2265 SE 7 14022 P 03/23-23 15 0 39 25 CALM 1 1759 SE 7 11089 P 03/24-00 33 0 37 32 SW 2 2 2 1 SW38 1253 SE 8 8157 P 03/24-01 33 0 37 33 SW 3 1 1171 S 9 8923 P 03/24-02 33 0 34 35 W 3 1 1089 S 10 9688 P 03/24-03 33 0 33 35 NW 5 5 2 1 SW41 1008 S 12 10454 P 03/24-04 33 0 33 37 NW 5 1 1071 S 12 10473 P 03/24-05 33 0 33 39 NW 5 1 1134 S 10 10492 P 03/24-06 36 0 32 45 N 3 3 2 1 SW29 1197 S 10 10511 P 03/24-07 36 0 29 49 N 3 1 1614 S 12 17416 P 03/24-08 36 0 33 41 NE 5 1 2031 SW 13 24322 P 03/24-09 36 0 38 33 NE 5 5 2 1 SW38 2448 SW 15 31228 P 03/24-10 36 0 42 28 NE 5 1 3629 SW 17 61629 G 03/24-11 36 0 46 23 E 5 1 4811 SW 21 92030 G 03/24-12 51 1 51 18 E 5 5 2 1 SW52 5992 SW 23 122430 V 03/24-13 51 1 54 15 SE 6 1 8014 SW 25 178713 E 03/24-14 51 1 54 13 SW 9 1 10037 SW 26 234996 E 03/24-15 51 1 54 12 W 12 18 3 1 SW30 12059 SW 28 291278 E 03/24-16 51 1 54 11 W 14 1 12422 SW 29 316399 E 03/24-17 51 1 54 11 W 17 1 12784 W 31 341520 E 03/24-18 60 0 54 10 W 20 31 2 1 SW22 13147 W 32 366641 E 03/24-19 60 0 53 12 W 23 1 10677 W 35 309160 E 03/24-20 60 0 48 15 W 25 1 8207 W 37 251678 E 03/24-21 60 0 46 18 W 26 43 2 1 W35 5737 W 39 194196 E 03/24-22 60 0 44 23 W 25 1 5031 W 37 163803 E 03/24-23 60 0 43 27 W 22 1 4325 W 35 133411 V 03/25-00 37 0 41 32 W 18 30 3 1 W39 3619 W 32 103018 V 03/25-01 37 0 40 35 W 14 1 3172 W 29 82917 G 03/25-02 37 0 38 38 W 10 1 2724 W 25 62816 G 03/25-03 37 0 37 40 W 7 7 3 1 W41 2277 W 22 42715 F 03/25-04 37 0 37 41 W 6 1 2292 W 20 38359 P 03/25-05 37 0 37 40 SW 5 1 2308 W 17 34004 P 03/25-06 38 8 36 40 SW 5 5 2 1 W36 2323 W 15 29649 P 03/25-07 38 8 34 43 S 3 1 2754 W 13 28027 P 03/25-08 38 8 35 41 S 2 1 3184 SW 10 26406 P 03/25-09 38 8 39 34 SE 2 2 2 1 W32 3614 SW 8 24785 P 03/25-10 38 8 42 29 SE 5 1 4685 SW 9 38966 P 03/25-11 38 8 46 24 SE 7 1 5757 SW 10 53147 F 03/25-12 53 8 50 20 E 9 15 2 1 W37 6828 SW 12 67328 G 03/25-13 53 8 53 16 E 8 1 7779 SW 14 100545 V 03/25-14 53 8 54 14 NE 6 1 8730 SW 17 133761 V 03/25-15 53 8 54 13 N 5 5 2 1 SW43 9682 SW 20 166978 E 03/25-16 53 8 54 12 N 7 1 9245 SW 17 139717 V 03/25-17 53 8 54 11 N 9 1 8809 SW 15 112456 V 03/25-18 70 27 54 11 N 12 18 2 1 SW32 8372 SW 12 85194 G 03/25-19 70 27 50 15 NE 12 1 7263 SW 13 79033 G 03/25-20 70 27 46 21 NE 10 1 6155 W 14 72872 G 03/25-21 70 27 44 28 E 8 13 2 1 SW21 5046 W 15 66711 G 03/25-22 70 27 42 39 SE 6 1 4785 W 13 54795 F 03/25-23 70 27 41 50 SE 2 1 4523 W 10 42879 F 03/26-00 70 27 39 64 CALM 1 2 1 W23 4262 W 8 30962 P 03/26-01 70 27 38 72 CALM 1 4195 W 9 35399 P 03/26-02 70 27 37 81 S 2 1 4128 W 12 39835 P 03/26-03 70 27 35 88 SW 3 3 2 1 W23 4061 W 13 44271 F 03/26-04 70 27 35 89 SW 5 1 4012 W 17 59136 F 03/26-05 70 27 35 86 W 6 1 3964 W 22 74001 G 03/26-06 38 27 35 83 W 7 7 3 1 W13 3915 W 26 88867 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...BOYD LEBEDA REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110323.INDIA.01/BOU