FNUS75 KBOU 231301 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR TOLLGATE FIRE...COUNTY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 701 AM MDT WED MAR 23 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE FOR A FEW MORE HOURS THIS MORNING AS PRESSURE GRADIENTS ACROSS EASTERN COLORADO BEGIN TO RELAX. WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT THIS MORNING WILL BECOME NORTH TO NORTHWEST BY THIS AFTERNOON. THE AIRMASS WILL REMAIN DRY AND MILD THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT WILL REMAIN OVER THE STATE THROUGH TONIGHT. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-60. MIN HUMIDITY........8-14%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. WEST WINDS 16-26 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH UNTIL 1000...THEN NORTH 8-14 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN NORTHEAST 6-12. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17-28 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN AROUND 8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...RISING TO 9000-10000 FT AGL BY 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1300...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE. .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30. MAX HUMIDITY........60-68%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5-10 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN NORTH 4-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-8 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN NORTH AROUND 5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL UNTIL 1900...THEN 7000-7500 FT AGL UNTIL 2000...THEN 1000-1500 FT AGL UNTIL 2400... THEN BELOW 1000 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2000. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1200...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-58. MIN HUMIDITY........14-20%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN NORTHWEST 10-16 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 4-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN SOUTHWEST 17-28 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL UNTIL 1300. 10800-11800 FT AGL AFTER 1500. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100. EXCELLENT AFTER 1700. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW AFTER 1800. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH. .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL 1800. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1200. CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR TOLLGATE FIRE. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/23-06 7 0 37 27 W 26 37 5 1 NW14 2375 W 32 67112 G 03/23-07 7 0 37 28 W 23 1 2693 W 26 59562 F 03/23-08 7 0 37 28 W 16 1 3011 W 21 52013 F 03/23-09 7 0 40 25 W 10 10 4 1 W14 3329 W 15 44464 F 03/23-10 7 0 43 24 W 8 1 4832 W 13 46825 F 03/23-11 7 0 46 21 W 8 1 6336 W 10 49186 F 03/23-12 6 0 48 20 W 9 9 3 1 W21 7840 W 8 51547 F 03/23-13 6 0 51 17 W 10 1 8803 W 8 64704 G 03/23-14 6 0 53 15 SW 13 1 9767 W 9 77860 G 03/23-15 6 0 55 13 S 13 13 2 1 W17 10730 W 9 91017 G 03/23-16 6 0 56 12 S 10 1 10672 W 8 79676 G 03/23-17 6 0 56 11 SE 6 1 10614 SW 7 68336 G 03/23-18 16 0 54 11 E 3 3 2 1 W13 10555 SW 6 56995 F 03/23-19 16 0 49 15 E 5 1 7597 SW 6 40255 F 03/23-20 16 0 45 21 N 6 1 4638 S 5 23516 P 03/23-21 16 0 42 27 NW 7 7 2 1 SW21 1679 SE 5 6776 P 03/23-22 16 0 39 32 N 6 1 1290 SE 6 5540 P 03/23-23 16 0 37 35 N 3 1 901 SE 6 4303 P 03/24-00 34 0 35 37 N 2 2 2 1 SW33 511 SE 7 3067 P 03/24-01 34 0 34 39 N 2 1 616 SE 6 2791 P 03/24-02 34 0 32 43 N 3 1 720 SE 5 2515 P 03/24-03 34 0 31 46 N 5 5 2 1 SW36 824 S 3 2240 P 03/24-04 34 0 30 50 N 5 1 916 S 3 3316 P 03/24-05 34 0 30 53 N 5 1 1008 S 5 4393 P 03/24-06 39 0 29 56 N 3 3 2 1 SW29 1099 S 6 5470 P 03/24-07 39 0 27 60 N 5 1 1565 S 7 10338 P 03/24-08 39 0 30 51 NE 6 1 2031 S 8 15207 P 03/24-09 39 0 34 43 NE 6 6 2 1 SW32 2497 SW 9 20076 P 03/24-10 39 0 38 37 NE 5 1 3199 SW 12 34483 P 03/24-11 39 0 42 31 E 5 1 3900 SW 14 48890 F 03/24-12 51 0 45 27 E 3 3 2 1 SW40 4602 SW 16 63297 G 03/24-13 51 0 48 22 NE 2 1 6559 SW 18 113430 V 03/24-14 51 0 51 19 N 2 1 8516 SW 21 163562 E 03/24-15 51 0 54 16 NW 5 5 3 1 SW33 10474 SW 23 213695 E 03/24-16 51 0 55 15 NW 10 1 11208 SW 26 266727 E 03/24-17 51 0 55 15 W 17 1 11943 W 30 319758 E 03/24-18 49 0 54 15 W 23 35 3 1 W36 12678 W 33 372790 E 03/24-19 49 0 50 18 W 26 1 10020 W 31 284056 E 03/24-20 49 0 47 22 W 28 1 7362 W 29 195321 E 03/24-21 49 0 45 26 W 28 41 4 1 NW15 4705 W 26 106587 V 03/24-22 49 0 42 31 W 26 1 3807 W 26 86840 G 03/24-23 49 0 41 36 W 25 1 2910 W 26 67093 G 03/25-00 40 0 39 40 W 22 33 3 1 W23 2013 W 28 47347 F 03/25-01 40 0 39 42 W 17 1 1707 W 23 36561 P 03/25-02 40 0 38 45 W 13 1 1400 W 20 25775 P 03/25-03 40 0 37 47 W 8 8 3 1 W39 1094 W 16 14989 P 03/25-04 40 0 36 49 W 6 1 1158 W 14 14244 P 03/25-05 40 0 36 49 W 5 1 1222 W 13 13499 P 03/25-06 39 7 35 50 W 3 3 2 1 W38 1286 W 12 12754 P 03/25-07 39 7 33 54 W 2 1 1486 W 12 15043 P 03/25-08 39 7 34 53 CALM 1 1686 W 12 17333 P 03/25-09 39 7 37 46 CALM 1 2 1 SW35 1886 W 12 19623 P 03/25-10 39 7 40 41 SW 5 1 3008 SW 12 29401 P 03/25-11 39 7 44 35 SE 8 1 4131 SW 12 39179 P 03/25-12 54 7 46 31 SE 10 16 2 1 SW32 5253 SW 10 48958 F 03/25-13 54 7 49 26 S 8 1 6485 SW 12 68406 G 03/25-14 54 7 51 21 SW 5 1 7717 SW 13 87854 G 03/25-15 54 7 54 17 CALM 1 2 1 SW38 8949 SW 14 107302 V 03/25-16 54 7 55 15 CALM 1 8820 SW 15 113470 V 03/25-17 54 7 55 15 N 3 1 8691 SW 16 119639 V 03/25-18 70 23 54 16 NE 5 5 2 1 SW31 8561 W 17 125808 V 03/25-19 70 23 49 20 NE 5 1 7345 W 20 116958 V 03/25-20 70 23 46 26 N 5 1 6129 W 21 108108 V 03/25-21 70 23 44 33 N 3 3 2 1 SW22 4914 W 23 99258 G 03/25-22 70 23 41 43 N 2 1 4548 W 18 75667 G 03/25-23 70 23 39 53 CALM 1 4182 W 14 52077 F 03/26-00 70 23 38 62 CALM 1 2 1 SW22 3816 W 8 28486 P 03/26-01 70 23 37 69 N 2 1 3483 W 9 28032 P 03/26-02 70 23 36 73 NW 2 1 3149 W 10 27578 P 03/26-03 70 23 35 78 NW 5 5 2 1 W23 2815 W 12 27123 P 03/26-04 70 23 34 79 W 6 1 2459 W 15 29426 P 03/26-05 70 23 34 78 W 6 1 2103 W 18 31729 P 03/26-06 41 23 33 76 W 7 7 3 1 W 8 1746 W 22 34032 P KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ DANKERS...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...MIKE RADDEN REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE .TAG 20110323.TOLLG.01/BOU