FNUS74 KLZK 231403
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR ADVANCE...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
903 AM CDT WED MAR 23 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0858 CDT ON MARCH 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS ARKANSAS FROM THE NORTHWEST
LATER TODAY AND EVENTUALLY STALL OUT SOUTH OF THE AREA. BREEZY
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST BEHIND THE
PASSAGE OF THE FRONT. WIND SPEEDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WILL BE COMMON
TODAY...WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE.

AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ARKANSAS THROUGH
THIS EVENING. DRIER AND COOLER CONDITIONS WILL LINGER THROUGH
THURSDAY. UNSETTLED CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TO THE REGION BY THE
WEEKEND AS THE FRONT BEGINS TO LIFT BACK NORTHWARD AND AN UPPER
LEVEL STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........66 AT REQUEST...MAX 74.
RH..................64 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 24 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS........WEST AROUND 25 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 16
                       MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 20
                       TO 29 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                       30 TO 31 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 6400 FT MSL.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS WEST AT 8 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE WEST
                    WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............66  68  69  71  72  73  73  73  73  71
RH..............64  60  56  46  38  31  28  26  25  25
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT WIND SPD..10  12  12  12  13  14  16  16  16  15
20 FT WIND GUST.15  20  20  20  25  25  30  30  30  25
EYE LVL WND DIR.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
EYE LVL WND SPD.6   7   7   7   8   8   10  10  10  9
EYE LVL WND GST.8   10  10  10  13  13  15  15  15  13
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
TRANSP WIND SPD.14  16  20  23  26  29  30  31  31  31
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

$$
FORECASTER...61
REQUESTED BY...DARRELL BARLOW
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110323.ADVAN.02/LZK