FNUS74 KLZK 231133 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR CATALPA EAST...USDA FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 633 AM CDT WED MAR 23 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS ARKANSAS FROM THE NORTHWEST LATER TODAY AND EVENTUALLY STALL OUT SOUTH OF THE AREA. BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT. WIND SPEEDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WILL BE COMMON TODAY...WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE. AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ARKANSAS THROUGH THIS EVENING. DRIER AND COOLER CONDITIONS WILL LINGER THROUGH THURSDAY. UNSETTLED CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TO THE REGION BY THE WEEKEND AS THE FRONT BEGINS TO LIFT BACK NORTHWARD AND AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........66 AT IGNITION...MAX 70. RH..................48 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 24 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........WEST AROUND 26 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 20 TO 29 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 5800 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS WEST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............66 67 69 69 69 69 67 RH..............48 40 33 29 26 24 26 20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW NW W W NW 20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 13 14 15 15 14 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 25 25 25 25 25 EYE LVL WND DIR.W NW NW NW W W NW EYE LVL WND SPD.7 7 8 8 9 9 8 EYE LVL WND GST.10 10 13 13 13 13 13 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.NW W W W W W NW TRANSP WIND SPD.20 22 24 26 28 29 28 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 0 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 35. RH..................MAX 63 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTHWEST 17 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 15 TO 21 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 4100 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............65 61 55 50 45 42 RH..............28 34 41 50 56 59 20 FT WIND......NW 12 NW 9 NW 8 N 8 N 8 N 8 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 15 15 15 EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW N N N EYE LVL WND SPD.7 5 5 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND GST.10 8 8 8 8 8 MIX HGT (FT).... TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.25 20 15 17 21 21 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 58. RH..................MIN 35 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTH 14 TO 21 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 2900 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH BECOMING LIGHT. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............39 42 51 56 RH..............61 51 40 35 20 FT WIND......N 8G15 N 9G15 N 7G10 NE 5G10 EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N NE EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 4 3 EYE LVL WND GST.8 8 5 5 MIX HGT (FT).... TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.21 18 10 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...44 REQUESTED BY...DAN MARTIN TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110323.CATAL.02/LZK