FNUS74 KLZK 231145 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH BOX BRANCH...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 645 AM CDT WED MAR 23 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS ARKANSAS FROM THE NORTHWEST LATER TODAY AND EVENTUALLY STALL OUT SOUTH OF THE AREA. BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST BEHIND THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT. WIND SPEEDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WILL BE COMMON TODAY...WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH POSSIBLE. AN ELEVATED FIRE DANGER WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ARKANSAS THROUGH THIS EVENING. DRIER AND COOLER CONDITIONS WILL LINGER THROUGH THURSDAY. UNSETTLED CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TO THE REGION BY THE WEEKEND AS THE FRONT BEGINS TO LIFT BACK NORTHWARD AND AN UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........73 AT IGNITION...MAX 77. RH..................49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 24 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 26 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 14 TO 21 MPH UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 24 TO 29 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 5600 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....4. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS WEST AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............73 74 75 76 76 76 74 RH..............49 41 34 30 27 24 25 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 13 14 14 14 13 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25 25 25 EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W W W W W EYE LVL WND SPD.8 8 8 8 8 8 8 EYE LVL WND GST.13 13 13 13 13 13 13 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W NW TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 21 24 26 28 29 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41. RH..................MAX 62 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTHWEST 18 TO 26 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3700 FT MSL. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............72 67 61 55 50 47 RH..............26 31 38 48 55 58 20 FT WIND......NW 12 NW 9 NW 8 NW 7 NW 7 NW 6 20 FT WIND GUST.20 15 15 10 10 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW EYE LVL WND SPD.7 5 5 4 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.10 8 8 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT).... TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW TRANSP WIND SPD.26 18 7 8 8 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 $$ FORECASTER...44 REQUESTED BY...TODD HOOPES TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110323.SOUTH.01/LZK