FNUS76 KMFR 231453
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR HART PILES SOUTH...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
753 AM PDT WED MAR 23 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON MARCH 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...TWO WEATHER SYSTEMS WILL IMPACT THE REGION THROUGH
TODAY AND TOMORROW WITH GUSTY SOUTH WINDS. SNOW LEVELS REMAINS
NEAR 4500 FEET. THE FIRST FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH LATE THIS
AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. LIGHT SNOW IS EXPECTED OVER THE
BURN AREA LATE IN THE DAY. THE NEXT AND STRONGEST FRONT WILL
FOLLOW CLOSE BEHIND ON THURSDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING VERY
GUSTY WINDS AND AN INCREASING CHANCE FOR SNOW OVER THE BURN
AREA.   SHOWERS CONTINUE ON FRIDAY AS THE SURFACE LOW MOVES
INLAND ACROSS THE AREA. BOTH THESE SYSTEMS TODAY AND THURSDAY
WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE
AFTERNOONS...HOWEVER ANY THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
WELL TO THE WEST OF THE BURN AREA.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE MORNING THEN SNOW LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-36.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH 4 TO 8 MPH IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO  7 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 TO 15
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-3000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                     TO 15 TO 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........SNOW LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SNOW.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....24.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS TO 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 25 MPH
                      OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SNOW LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....33-35
MIN HUMIDITY........60-70 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS TO 15 TO 20 MPH
                    ESPECIALLY IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3000 FT AGL IN
                     LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING
                     TO 1500-2500 FEET IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 18 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.
CWR.................70 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...CLARSTROM
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT HAVEL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110323.HARTP.01/MFR