FNUS72 KMLB 231037
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR TM3...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
637 AM EDT WED MAR 23 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MARCH 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AS THE SURFACE RIDGE AXIS SINKS INTO SOUTH FLORIDA
TODAY...SOUTHWEST FLOW CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE BURN AREA
TODAY...INCREASING THIS AFTERNOON AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT
TIGHTENS. NO SEA BREEZE IS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE
VOLUSIA COUNTY COAST. THE COMBINATION OF LOW RH VALUES THIS
AFTERNOON AND INCREASING SOUTHWEST WINDS HAS PROMPTED A FIRE
DANGER STATEMENT FOR THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.

PATCHY MORNING FOG MAY BE POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF THE BURN
AREA AROUND SUNRISE THIS MORNING...BUT WILL BURN OFF AFTER 9 AM
WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. INCREASING
SOUTHWEST WINDS OVERNIGHT WILL LIMIT FOG FORMATION
OVERNIGHT...THOUGH LOCAL FORMATION MAY STILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE
VICINITY OF THE BURN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 3 TO 5 MPH INCREASING TO 6 TO 13
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 23 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....62.

TIME (EDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............69  74  77  79  82  81  81  80  77  75  72  71
RH..............70  62  52  45  40  39  40  41  48  52  59  61
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6   8   10  12  13  13  14  14  13  13  12  9
20 FT WIND GUST.    10      15  15  15  20  20  15  15  15  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700-2400 FT AGL EARLY
                    IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 23 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 12
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....8.
LVORI...............6.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-4000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 25 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....67.


$$
FORECASTER...MOSES
REQUESTED BY...DYLAN GAVAGNI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110323.TM3__.01/MLB