FNUS74 KMOB 231252 FWSMOB SPOT FORECAST FOR NAVAL LIVE OAKS...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL 752 AM CDT WED MAR 23 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON MARCH 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES OVER THE REGION TODAY THEN A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING AND USHERS DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION. AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS TODAY BUT WILL DROP BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS OVER THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA ON THURSDAY. ERC VALUES REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS OVER NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND DURATION REQUIREMENTS WILL NOT BE MET IN SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA. THE WEAK FRONT MOVES BACK NORTHWARD THROUGH THE AREA ON FRIDAY WITH A LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW RESUMING. AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITIES DROP BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS OVER THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE BUT ERC VALUES REMAIN BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS. .TODAY... TIME (CDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%)...........54 44 44 44 44 WEATHER COV.......PATCHY WEATHER TYPE......FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP..............65 69 72 73 73 RH................100 89 79 75 74 20 FT WIND DIR....SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT WIND SPD....10 11 12 14 14 MIX HGT (FT)......1600 2600 2700 2700 2600 MIX HGT (M).......490 790 820 820 790 TRANSP WIND DIR...SW SW SW SW SW TRANSP WIND SPD...15 18 20 22 25 TRANS SPD (M/S)...7 8 9 10 11 DISPERSION........32 42 46 51 57 LVORI.............4 4 3 3 3 CWR...............10 10 10 10 10 .TONIGHT... TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%)...........44 42 42 42 61 61 WEATHER COV....... WEATHER TYPE......NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP..............72 68 66 65 64 63 RH................79 90 98 98 99 99 20 FT WIND DIR....SW SW SW W W W 20 FT WIND SPD....14 12 12 11 11 11 MIX HGT (FT)......2000 1600 1300 1400 1500 1500 MIX HGT (M).......610 490 400 430 460 460 TRANSP WIND DIR...SW SW SW W W W TRANSP WIND SPD...25 25 26 28 28 26 TRANS SPD (M/S)...11 11 12 13 13 12 DISPERSION........50 28 30 31 31 30 LVORI.............3 4 4 4 4 4 CWR...............10 10 10 10 0 0 .THURSDAY... TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%)...........61 49 49 49 31 31 WEATHER COV....... WEATHER TYPE......NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP..............63 64 70 74 76 76 RH................94 87 69 53 46 43 20 FT WIND DIR....W NW NW NW NW NW 20 FT WIND SPD....11 10 9 7 6 5 MIX HGT (FT)......1600 2000 2600 3300 3400 3000 MIX HGT (M).......490 610 790 1010 1040 910 TRANSP WIND DIR...W NW N NW NW W TRANSP WIND SPD...23 18 14 12 10 13 TRANS SPD (M/S)...10 8 6 5 4 6 DISPERSION........26 45 42 40 47 56 LVORI.............4 4 1 1 1 1 CWR...............0 10 10 10 10 10 $$ FORECASTER...MOB FORECASTER REQUESTED BY...SHANE PAXTON TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110323.NAVAL.01/MOB