FNUS73 KPAH 231222 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR ASHBY...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 722 AM CDT WED MAR 23 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON MARCH 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A DRY COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP EAST ACROSS THE BURN AREA THIS AFTERNOON. IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...STRONG WESTERLY WINDS AND PLUMMETING RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........66 AT IGNITION...MAX 73. RH..................70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS 15 TO 23 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 6. MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 3200-4600 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6900 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. DECREASING TO 3500 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 29 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 37 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW TEMP............66 67 69 71 73 73 73 73 71 70 69 RH..............70 63 58 54 49 45 40 38 38 40 40 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..9 11 14 15 17 17 17 15 15 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 25 25 30 30 30 30 30 25 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.9 1.4 2.2 3.2 4.6 6.9 9.0 9.7 7.2 3.5 TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W W W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.23 25 26 26 25 25 29 35 37 35 30 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40. RH..................MAX 77 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4100 FT AGL LATE IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 26 TO 35 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............65 57 52 49 43 41 RH..............43 55 61 63 76 76 20 FT WIND......W 10 NW 10 NW 10 NW 10 NW 9 N 9 20 FT WIND GUST.25 20 20 15 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....300 BLW100 1400 3800 3900 3800 TRANSPORT WIND..W 26 NW 32 NW 33 NW 30 NW 29 NW 28 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 48. RH..................MIN 42 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-4600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 16 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 13 TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............40 44 46 47 RH..............76 61 53 49 20 FT WIND......N 8G15 N 7G10 N 6G10 N 5G10 MIX HGT (FT)....4300 4600 4600 4600 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 25 N 21 N 18 N 16 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...YORK REQUESTED BY...FRANK PAUKERT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110323.ASHBY.01/PAH