FNUS73 KPAH 231758 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR CARMACK LADY BLOCKS...USDA FOREST SERVICE LBL NRA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1258 PM CDT WED MAR 23 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 CDT ON MARCH 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN INDIANA AND OHIO TODAY. THE TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT. IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...STRONG WEST WINDS AND PLUMMETING RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL REACH SOUTHEAST MISSOURI LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE MUCH DRIER AIR WILL BE SLOWER TO REACH SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND WESTERN KENTUCKY. MUCH COOLER AIR WILL ARRIVE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WORKWEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES EAST ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE EACH DAY. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURE.........75 AT IGNITION...MAX 77. RH..................46 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 43 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 13 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 6. MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-5800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 7300-7700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 5600 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 33 MPH. TIME (CDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC PC WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW TEMP............75 73 72 70 RH..............46 46 46 45 20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...7.3 7.7 5.6 2.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.31 33 30 25 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 6 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41. RH..................MAX 77 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING THEN 20 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 6 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......0-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200-4600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 22 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 26 TO 33 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............67 58 53 50 44 42 RH..............42 55 61 66 73 73 20 FT WIND......W 9 W 9 NW 7 W 6 W 6 W 5 20 FT WIND GUST.25 20 15 15 15 20 MIX HGT (FT)....300 700 2100 2800 3500 4200 TRANSPORT WIND..W 22 NW 30 NW 33 NW 29 NW 29 NW 28 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....6 4 3 3 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 48. RH..................MIN 43 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 24 MPH DECREASING TO 12 TO 14 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............41 44 46 47 RH..............73 65 55 51 20 FT WIND......NW 5G20 N 9G20 N 7G15 N 6G10 MIX HGT (FT)....4900 4800 4700 4700 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 24 N 20 N 17 N 15 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...TREVINO REQUESTED BY...REGINA ROBY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110323.CARMA.01/PAH