FNUS73 KPAH 231227 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR DK...USFWS CRAB ORCHARD NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 727 AM CDT WED MAR 23 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON MARCH 23. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A DRY COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP EAST ACROSS THE BURN AREA THIS AFTERNOON. IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...STRONG WESTERLY WINDS AND PLUMMETING RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL CREATE HAZARDOUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........68 AT IGNITION...MAX 74. RH..................62 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 36 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 6. MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL AT IGNITION... AGL INCREASING TO 6800-8200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 35 TO 40 MPH. TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............68 70 72 73 74 73 72 71 70 68 RH..............62 56 50 45 40 39 36 36 38 39 20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W W W W W W 20 FT WIND SPD..12 15 18 19 20 20 20 20 17 12 20 FT WIND GUST.20 25 25 30 30 30 30 30 25 25 MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.4 3.1 5.0 6.8 7.7 8.2 8.1 7.8 6.9 TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W TRANSP WIND SPD.20 23 25 29 31 35 38 40 40 38 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 5 6 6 6 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 39. RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN THE EVENING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-5800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1100-3000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN INCREASING TO 3500-4100 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 29 TO 36 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 26 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............65 56 51 48 43 40 RH..............43 57 63 65 73 76 20 FT WIND......NW 11 NW 11 NW 10 NW 10 NW 10 N 9 20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 20 20 15 15 MIX HGT (FT)....5800 2200 1700 4100 3800 3700 TRANSPORT WIND..W 36 NW 35 NW 32 NW 31 NW 31 NW 29 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 47. RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-4600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 16 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 12 TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............39 43 45 46 RH..............76 62 55 53 20 FT WIND......N 8G15 N 6G10 N 6G10 N 5G10 MIX HGT (FT)....4300 4600 4600 4500 TRANSPORT WIND..NW 25 N 21 N 18 N 15 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 $$ FORECASTER...YORK REQUESTED BY...RAY PARRISH TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110323.DK___.01/PAH