FNUS73 KSGF 231404
FWSSGF

SPOT FORECAST FOR GRANNIES ACRES...MO DEPT OF CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
904 AM CDT WED MAR 23 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

WINDS WILL INCREASE STARTING AROUND MID MORNING OUT OF THE WEST.
WINDS AROUND IGNITION TIME WILL BE OUT OF THE WEST BETWEEN 10 AND
15 MPH...BUT WILL SLOWLY VEER TO THE NORTHWEST THROUGHOUT THE
AFTERNOON AND INCREASE TO AROUND 15 MPH. WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY
TODAY DUE TO HIGH MIXING HEIGHTS...WITH 20 FOOT WIND GUSTS AROUND
30 MPH EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE...RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
WILL QUICKLY DROP LATER THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON AS
TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE 60S. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL FALL
BELOW 30 PERCENT EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS WILL BE APPROACHED THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO THE
COMBINATION OF BRISK AND GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60 AT IGNITION...MAX 65.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 27 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS WEST AT 13 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 19 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH. WINDS WILL SLOWLY
                    VEER FROM WESTERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY
                    THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 6.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 2500 FT AGL
                    INCREASING TO 5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 24 TO 33 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............60  61  62  63  64  65  63
RH..............41  36  32  29  28  27  29
20 FT WIND DIR..W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..13  14  14  15  15  15  14
20 FT WIND GUST.25  28  30  30  30  30  28
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 2.5 3.1 3.9 4.7 5.3 5.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.29  29  24  31  31  31  33
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0
HAINES INDEX....5   5   4   4   3   3   3

$$
FORECASTER...SCHAUMANN
REQUESTED BY...JACOB MCMAINS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110323.GRANN.01/SGF