FNUS74 KLZK 241535 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK CABIN...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 1035 AM CDT THU MAR 24 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1035 CDT ON MARCH 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... NORTHWEST TO NORTH WIND TODAY GENERALLY 5 TO 15 MPH...AS A DRIER AIR MASS FILTERS INTO ARKANSAS. RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL LOWER TO UPPER 20S TO 30S THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER ARKANSAS TODAY AND GRADUALLY SHIFT EASTWARD TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO PASS NORTH OF THE STATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY... RESULTING IN SMALL CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTH ARKANSAS. UNSETTLED CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND. A WARM FRONT WILL BEGIN LIFTING BACK NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF COAST LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND NORTH OF THE FRONT. MEANWHILE...LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK EASTWARD ALONG THE FRONT AND KEEP RAIN CHANCES IN THE FORECAST THROUGH SATURDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........47 AT IGNITION...MAX 56. RH..................52 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 36 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTH 9 TO 18 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3500 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........PC PC PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR WEATHER COV.....NONE. WEATHER TYPE....NONE. TEMP............47 50 52 53 54 55 55 55 RH..............52 47 42 39 38 36 37 39 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N NE E 20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 8 7 7 6 6 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N N N N NE E EYE LVL WND SPD.5 5 5 4 4 4 4 3 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N E TRANSP WIND SPD.16 15 14 12 12 10 9 7 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 37. RH..................MAX 76 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 16 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. STABILITY CLASS.....5. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............54 49 46 44 42 40 RH..............39 48 56 63 69 73 20 FT WIND......E 5 E 3 E 5 SE 5 SE 6 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 10 10 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E SE SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.3 2 3 3 4 4 EYE LVL WND GST.5 3 3 5 5 5 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.6 8 12 15 16 15 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 30 30 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 58. RH..................MIN 51 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 3600 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............39 43 51 56 RH..............75 65 55 51 20 FT WIND......SE 7G10 SE 8G15 SE 9G15 S 8G15 EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE S EYE LVL WND SPD.4 5 5 5 EYE LVL WND GST.5 8 8 8 MIX HGT (FT).... TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE S TRANSP WIND SPD.14 16 18 14 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 20 $$ FORECASTER...M TREXLER REQUESTED BY...MARK MORALES TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110324.BLACK.01/LZK