FNUS74 KLZK 241030 FWSLZK SPOT FORECAST FOR ROBINSON BURN...ARKANSAS FORESTRY COMMISSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR 530 AM CDT THU MAR 24 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MARCH 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD OVER ARKANSAS TODAY AND GRADUALLY SHIFT EASTWARD TONIGHT AND FRIDAY. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO PASS NORTH OF THE STATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...RESULTING IN SMALL CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR NORTH ARKANSAS. UNSETTLED CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND. A WARM FRONT WILL BEGIN LIFTING BACK NORTHWARD FROM THE GULF COAST LATE FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG AND NORTH OF THE FRONT. MEANWHILE...LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK EASTWARD ALONG THE FRONT AND KEEP RAIN CHANCES IN THE FORECAST THROUGH SATURDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........49 AT IGNITION...MAX 54. RH..................43 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS........NORTH 12 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 4300 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....2. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM SKY (%).........MC MC PC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............49 51 52 52 53 53 RH..............43 40 39 38 37 38 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N NE 20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 7 6 6 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 10 10 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.N N N N N NE EYE LVL WND SPD.5 4 4 4 4 3 EYE LVL WND GST.8 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (KFT)... TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 9 8 7 6 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 36. RH..................MAX 75 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 16 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 2200 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....5. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............52 48 44 43 41 39 RH..............40 47 55 61 67 71 20 FT WIND......NE 3 E 3 E 3 E 5 SE 5 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 10 10 EYE LVL WND DIR.NE E E E SE E EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 2 3 3 4 EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT).... TRANSP WIND DIR.NE E E SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 10 14 16 16 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 30 30 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 56. RH..................MIN 49 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTHEAST 12 TO 21 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BECOMING 2500 FT MSL. STABILITY CLASS.....3. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TEMP............38 42 49 54 RH..............73 65 54 49 20 FT WIND......E 6G10 SE 7G10 SE 8G15 SE 8G15 EYE LVL WND DIR.E SE SE SE EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 5 5 EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 8 8 MIX HGT (FT).... TRANSP WIND DIR.E SE SE SE TRANSP WIND SPD.15 20 20 14 CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 20 $$ FORECASTER...44 REQUESTED BY...STEPHEN L SHORT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110324.ROBIN.01/LZK