FNUS74 KMOB 232322
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR NAVEL LIVE OAKS...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
622 PM CDT WED MAR 23 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1825 CDT ON MARCH 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION LATE TONIGHT
AND OFFSHORE THURSDAY MORNING. DRY AIR WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THE FRONT
WITH TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL. THIS WILL BRING RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN
THE LOW TO MID 20S...BUT SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS AND ERC ARE NOT
SUFFICIENT TO MEET CRITERIA IN THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
HUMIDITY WILL BE OUTSIDE CRITERIA ON FRIDAY AS WELL...AND A HIGH WILL
MOVE EAST ALLOWING A LIGHT SOUTHERLY FLOW TO BEGIN.

.REST OF TONIGHT...
TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........37     30     39     39     58     72
WEATHER COV.......                     PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG    FOG
TEMP..............73     70     67     66     65     64
RH................71     79     86     89     94     100
20 FT WIND DIR....SW     SW     SW     W      W      W
20 FT WIND SPD....11     11     11     11     11     10
MIX HGT (FT)......1800   1300   1100   1000   1000   1100
MIX HGT (M).......550    400    340    300    300    340
TRANSP WIND DIR...SW     SW     SW     SW     W      W
TRANSP WIND SPD...20     15     17     16     18     21
TRANS SPD (M/S)...9      7      8      7      8      9
DISPERSION........44     22     15     14     17     19
LVORI.............3      3      4      4      4      3
CWR...............0      10     10     10     10     10

.THURSDAY...
TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........72     54     20     20     4      4
WEATHER COV.......PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE......FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............63     64     71     75     77     77
RH................100    90     60     42     35     33
20 FT WIND DIR....NW     NW     N      NW     NW     W
20 FT WIND SPD....9      9      10     9      7      6
MIX HGT (FT)......1400   2100   3000   3600   3700   3400
MIX HGT (M).......430    640    910    1100   1130   1040
TRANSP WIND DIR...W      NW     N      NW     NW     NW
TRANSP WIND SPD...16     18     25     21     17     17
TRANS SPD (M/S)...7      8      11     9      8      8
DISPERSION........18     36     82     74     63     59
LVORI.............4      3      1      1      1      1
CWR...............10     10     10     10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...MOB FORECASTER
REQUESTED BY...SHANE PAXTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110324.NAVEL.01/MOB