FNUS73 KPAH 232225
FWSPAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR CANE RIDGE WEST UNIT F...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
525 PM CDT WED MAR 23 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 24.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
MAJOR CHANGES EXPECTED THIS EVENING...AS MUCH COOLER AIR MOVES
INTO THE REGION. WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES EXPECTED THURSDAY...RELATIVE
HUMIDITIES WILL ONLY DROP INTO THE MID 40S. DISPERSION SHOULD NOT
BE A PROBLEM...DESPITE GRADUALLY WEAKENING NORTH TO NORTHEAST
WINDS THROUGH THE DAY.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........43 AT IGNITION...MAX 50.
RH..................57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO A MAX OF 3600
                    FT AGL AROUND 4 PM.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 28 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 9 TO 17
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM      10 AM     1 PM      4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY     MCLDY     MCLDY     PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............38        43        47        49
RH..............70        57        47        44
20 FT WIND......NW 5G15   N 8G15    N 6G15    NE 5G10
MIX HGT (FT)....3100      3200      3500      3600
TRANSPORT WIND..N 28      N 22      N 16      N 12
CWR.............0         0         0         0
HAINES INDEX....3         2         2         2

$$
FORECASTER...SPAETH
REQUESTED BY...TIM PERREN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110324.CANER.01/PAH