FNUS73 KPAH 241105
FWSPAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR DUCK CREEK...MISSOURI DEPT CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
605 AM CDT THU MAR 24 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CDT ON MARCH 24.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
IN THE WAKE OF THE SYSTEM THAT MOVED THROUGH THE AREA ON
WEDNESDAY...CLOUDINESS WILL BE THE RULE EARLY TODAY ACROSS MOST OF
THE REGION. HOWEVER...WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE AREA
LATER THIS AFTERNOON...WE SHOULD SEE AN IMPROVEMENT IN SKY
COVER...WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES BY TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL
BE ABOUT THIRTY DEGREES COOLER THAN YESTERDAY...WITH HIGHS IN THE
MID TO UPPER 40S. THESE LOWER TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH DRIER AIR
WILL YIELD MUCH HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FOR TODAY. WINDS
SHOULD ALSO BE LIGHTER COMPARED TO YESTERDAY.

CLEAR SKIES ALONG WITH LIGHT WINDS...WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO
DROP TO NEAR THE FREEZING MARK TONIGHT...WHICH COULD LEAD TO SOME
PATCHY FROST IN SOME PLACES.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........45 AT IGNITION...MAX 47.
RH..................55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTH WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    LATE IN THE DAY AND DECREASING TO 5 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3000-4500
                    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 16 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............44  45  45  45  46  46  46  45
RH..............55  53  52  51  51  50  51  53
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE
20 FT WIND SPD..11  10  9   9   8   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.6 4.0 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.20  17  16  15  14  13  12  10
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH
REQUESTED BY...MATT BOWYER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110324.DUCKC.01/PAH