FNUS73 KPAH 241516 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR STATE OF IL TRACT...USFS SHAWNEE NF NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1016 AM CDT THU MAR 24 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON MARCH 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... IN THE WAKE OF THE SYSTEM THAT MOVED THROUGH THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY...CLOUDINESS WILL BE THE RULE TODAY ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION. TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL REMAIN NEARLY STEADY TODAY DUE TO NORTHERLY WINDS AND EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER. IN FACT... TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT THIRTY DEGREES COOLER THAN YESTERDAY. THESE LOWER TEMPERATURES WILL YIELD MUCH HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TODAY. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE THAT SOME SUNSHINE COULD BREAK THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...BUT LATEST SATELLITE TRENDS SHOW EXTENSIVE CLOUDS STILL WELL NORTH OF ST LOUIS AND ALL THE WAY BACK THROUGH MISSOURI AND INTO KANSAS. LOOKS LIKE A CLOUDY DAY UNLESS THE CLOUDS CAN MIX OUT /OR JUST DISSIPSTE/ WHICH APPEARS UNLIKELY. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL TAKE AIM ON OUR REGION AS EARLY AS FRIDAY...WHICH WILL BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN TO THE QUAD STATE AREA. THESE RAIN CHANCES...ALONG WITH POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF A RAIN...SNOW MIX LATE SATURDAY NIGHT IN AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 64...OTHERWISE ALL RAIN IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........39 AT IGNITION...MAX 41. RH..................62 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 59 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4000-5400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 25 TO 30 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY MC MC MC MC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............39 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 RH..............62 59 59 59 59 59 59 59 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N NE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 5 5 4 4 20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 15 15 15 15 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...4.0 4.2 4.5 4.7 4.9 5.0 4.9 4.6 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 16 15 13 13 10 10 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 31. RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-4400 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 9 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY WEATHER TYPE....FROST FROST FROST FROST FROST FROST TEMP............40 38 36 35 34 33 RH..............59 67 72 75 78 82 20 FT WIND......NE 3 NE 2 NE 2 E 2 E 3 E 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....4400 4100 3900 3700 3300 3100 TRANSPORT WIND..N 9 NE 7 E 5 E 5 E 5 E 6 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 4 4 4 $$ FORECASTER...MEFFERT REQUESTED BY...SCOTT CRIST TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110324.STATE.01/PAH