FNUS73 KPAH 240116 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR VANCE BARNETT BURN...MISSOURI DEPT CONSERVATION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 816 PM CDT WED MAR 23 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING... .DISCUSSION... SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER THE REGION ON THURSDAY...WHICH WILL RESULT IN GENERAL LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS WITH A TREND TOWARD CALM BY SUNSET. THE FULLY SHELTERED LOCATION MAY RESULT IN LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THROUGH THE ENTIRE DAY. DISPERSION MAY BECOME A PROBLEM THURSDAY NIGHT...AS MIXING HEIGHTS DROP. A CHANCE OF RAIN IS FORECAST FOR FRIDAY. .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........43 AT IGNITION...MAX 50. RH..................57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AROUND 6 MPH AT IGNITION...NOT MORE THAN 5 MPH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. GRADUALLY BECOMING NORTHEAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...AND NEARLY STEADY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 16 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TEMP............43 47 49 RH..............57 47 44 20 FT WIND......N 7 N 6 NE 5 MIX HGT (FT)....3100 3300 3300 TRANSPORT WIND..N 20 N 15 N 10 CWR.............0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 32. RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 10 PM 1 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............46 40 37 34 RH..............49 67 75 85 20 FT WIND......NE 5 E 3G5 E 2G5 E 3G5 MIX HGT (FT)....3200 2900 2400 1900 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 8 E 9 SE 13 SE 14 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 4 4 4 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 50. RH..................MIN 54 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH. CWR.................36 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2300 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 13 TO 15 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............33 40 47 49 RH..............85 73 60 61 20 FT WIND......E 3G5 SE 5G10 S 6G10 SE 5G10 MIX HGT (FT)....1700 1900 2200 2300 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 15 SE 15 S 15 SE 14 CWR.............40 40 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 3 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...SPAETH REQUESTED BY...GARY GOGNAT TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110324.VANCE.01/PAH