FNUS73 KPAH 241151 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR VANCE BARNETT...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 651 AM CDT THU MAR 24 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON MARCH 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... IN THE WAKE OF THE SYSTEM THAT MOVED THROUGH THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY...CLOUDINESS WILL BE THE RULE EARLY TODAY ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION. HOWEVER...WITH HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON...WE SHOULD SEE AN IMPROVEMENT IN SKY COVER...WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES BY TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE ABOUT THIRTY DEGREES COOLER THAN YESTERDAY...WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. THESE LOWER TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH DRIER AIR WILL YIELD MUCH HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES FOR TODAY. WINDS SHOULD ALSO BE LIGHTER COMPARED TO YESTERDAY. CLEAR SKIES ALONG WITH LIGHT WINDS...WILL ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO DROP TO NEAR THE FREEZING MARK TONIGHT...WHICH COULD LEAD TO SOME PATCHY FROST IN SOME PLACES. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL TAKE AIM ON OUR REGION AS EARLY AS FRIDAY...WHICH WILL BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN TO THE QUAD STATE AREA. THESE RAIN CHANCES...ALONG WITH POSSIBLY A FEW THUNDERSTORMS...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........42 AT IGNITION...MAX 47. RH..................58 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 45 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH BY LATE IN THE DAY. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4. MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3300-4200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 24 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE.... TEMP............41 42 44 45 45 46 46 46 45 RH..............58 55 52 50 49 48 48 49 51 20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..11 10 9 8 7 7 7 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...3.5 4.0 4.2 4.0 4.0 4.1 4.0 4.0 3.8 TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N NE TRANSP WIND SPD.20 17 15 13 12 10 9 8 7 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 32. RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................4 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-3300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1200 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 14 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............43 40 37 36 35 34 RH..............54 62 67 71 75 78 20 FT WIND......NE 5 E 4 E 2 E 2 E 3 E 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....3300 1200 300 300 400 300 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 7 E 8 E 10 E 14 E 13 E 13 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. TEMPERATURE.........MAX 48. RH..................MIN 55 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH. CWR.................40 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400-2800 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 18 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............33 39 45 48 RH..............82 68 59 59 20 FT WIND......E 3G5 SE 5G10 S 6G10 SE 5G10 MIX HGT (FT)....300 1800 2600 2800 TRANSPORT WIND..E 14 E 18 SE 17 SE 12 CWR.............30 40 40 30 HAINES INDEX....4 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH REQUESTED BY...DAN DREES TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110324.VANCE.02/PAH