FNUS73 KSGF 241647 FWSSGF SPOT FORECAST FOR PREUSCH SMITH...US FOREST SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 1147 AM CDT THU MAR 24 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CDT ON MARCH 24. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP WINDS NORTHERLY INTO THIS AFTERNOON WITH 20 FOOT WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASSIONAL GUSTS TO 18 MPH. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE 40 PERCENT THROUGH THE DAY FOR THE BURN LOCATION THOUGH LOCAL CONDITIONS MAY SEE RH VALUES FALL INTO THE UPPER 30 PERCENTS FOR SHORT PERIODS. CLOUD COVER WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION INTO TOMORROW. A STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH WINDS BEGOMING SOUTHERLY...INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND RAIN CHANCES MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....42 AT IGNITION...MAX 46. MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........WINDS SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER 6PM. CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAXIMUM 3100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 17 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............38 44 45 45 RH..............65 47 43 45 20 FT WIND......NW 6 N 6 N 5 NE 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....3100 3000 3100 2900 TRANSPORT WIND..N 15 N 12 NE 9 NE 8 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 3 3 3 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 35. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 73 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........WINDS SHIFTING TO THE EAST AFTER 6PM. CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A. TRANSPORT WINDS.....N/A. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).........PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RAIN RAIN TEMP............45 42 40 39 37 37 RH..............46 52 56 60 66 70 20 FT WIND......NE 4 E 4 E 4 E 4 E 4 E 4 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2100 1500 1000 700 600 TRANSPORT WIND..E 8 E 9 SE 12 SE 14 SE 16 SE 18 CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 20 20 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 4 4 4 .FRIDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 45. MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 67 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. CHANCE OF PRECIP....50 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 21 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....S CHC LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............36 36 40 42 44 45 RH..............75 77 71 72 71 67 20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....500 600 900 1200 1400 1400 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 20 SE 20 SE 20 S 18 S 17 SE 16 CHC OF PCPN (%).20 60 60 60 50 50 HAINES INDEX....3 3 2 2 2 2 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN...THEN RAIN LIKELY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 38. MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 83 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS. WIND SHIFT..........NONE. CHANCE OF PRECIP....60 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 22 MPH. TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............45 43 41 40 40 39 39 39 41 43 44 45 RH..............70 76 82 90 93 91 95 97 93 93 90 83 20 FT WIND......E 5 E 5 E 5 E 5 E 5 E 5 E 6 E 7 E 8 E 8 E 6 E 6 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 10 10 MIX HGT (FT)....1500 1300 900 800 700 700 700 700 900 1000 1000 1100 TRANSPORT WIND..SE 14 SE 13 SE 13 SE 14 SE 15 SE 17 E 20 E 22 E 22 SE 22 E 21 E 20 CHC OF PCPN (%).50 40 40 40 40 40 40 60 60 60 60 60 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...HATCH REQUESTED BY...REGGIE BRAY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110324.PREUS.01/SGF