FNUS72 KMHX 251343 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR 3 2 2 TWIFORD FARM FIEDL...ALLIGATOR RIVER NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 943 AM EDT FRI MAR 25 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MARCH 25. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE BURN AREA WILL MOVE EAST TODAY. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR THE NORTHERLY WINDS THIS MORNING TO VEER NE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON...AND THEN EAST BY LATE AFTERNOON. SKIES WILL GENERALLY BE MOSTLY CLOUDY...THOUGH A FEW BREAKS IN CLOUDS MAY OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ON THE COOL SIDE ALL DAY WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES GENERALLY AROUND 50 PERCENT. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 17 MPH...DECREASING TO 3 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............84 71 67 66 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................49 49 49 49 RH..................52 50 50 52 20 FT WIND (MPH)....N 12 N 9 NE 9 E 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 15 15 15 HAINES INDEX........4 4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42. MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 9 TO 10 MPH LATE. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 12 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............68 74 82 85 92 97 WEATHER COV......... WEATHER TYPE........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP................47 45 44 43 43 44 RH..................58 65 70 79 86 86 20 FT WIND (MPH)....E 9 SE 7 SE 8 SE 9 SE 8 SW 9 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 15 10 15 HAINES INDEX........4 3 3 3 3 3 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50. MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST EARLY IN THE MORNING. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2700 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............99 99 87 87 87 91 WEATHER COV......... S CHC S CHC S CHC LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........NONE RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP................44 42 45 48 49 50 RH..................86 96 86 77 77 71 20 FT WIND (MPH)....W 10 N 9 N 12 N 14 NE 15 NE 15 20 FT WIND GUST.....15 10 15 15 20 20 HAINES INDEX........3 3 3 3 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...LONKA REQUESTED BY...HELEN CZERNIK TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110325.322TW.01/MHX