FNUS74 KSJT 270206
FWSSJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR MAYNARD CREEK...TFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO
906 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2049 CDT ON MARCH 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
...CURRENTLY A COLD FRONT IS MOVING SOUTH TOWARD THE
WILDFIRE...BRINGING NORTHEAST WINDS BEHIND IT. THE COLD FRONT
SHOULD ARRIVE AT THE FIRE BETWEEN 11 PM AND MIDNIGHT. IN
ADDITION...THE DRYLINE IS ALSO MOVING TOWARD THE FIRE AND SHOULD
ARRIVE AT THE FIRE BETWEEN 10 AND 1030 PM. AS THE DRYLINE MOVES
THROUGH...WINDS WILL SWITCH TO THE SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH...WITH
AN ABRUPT RISE IN RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES. ALTHOUGH IT ISN/T IN
THE TAB FORECAST BELOW...THERE WILL BE A PERIOD OF RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES SPIKING TO NEAR 70 PERCENT BEHIND THE DRYLINE.
HOWEVER...THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH AFTERWARD...SHIFTING
WINDS BACK TO THE NORTHEAST AND LOWERING RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
BACK DOWN INTO THE 30 PERCENT RANGE. IN ADDITION...WINDS WILL
INCREASE WITH THE COLD FRONT TO AROUND 10 MPH AT 20 FEET WITH
GUSTS UP TO AROUND 15 MPH. WHILE A THUNDERSTORM IS AFFECTING
AREAS TO YOUR EAST...IT IS MOVING TO THE SOUTHEAST AWAY FROM THE
FIRE...AND NO THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE FIRE
TONIGHT. ANY WINDS FROM THE THUNDERSTORM WILL NOT AFFECT THE FIRE
AREA...

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 12 TO
                    17 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........6      8      10     28     39
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............74     66     57     51     48
RH..............15     22     34     50     63
20 FT WIND......N 2    NE 5   NE 6   NE 6   NE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     15     15     10
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 2    NE 5   NE 6   NE 6   NE 6
EYE LEVEL WIND..5      10     15     15     10

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........13 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO
                    13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 15
                    TO 16 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO
                    13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........42     41     35     29     25     24
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............47     46     54     65     74     79
RH..............71     83     64     45     30     20
20 FT WIND......NE 6   NE 5   NW 2   W 5    SW 8   SW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     5      10     15     20
EYE LEVEL WIND..NE 6   NE 5   NW 2   W 5    SW 8   SW 10
EYE LEVEL WIND..10     10     5      10     15     20

$$
FORECASTER...NAGLE
REQUESTED BY...TEXAS FOREST SERVICE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110326.MAYNA.01/SJT