FNUS75 KBOU 262052 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ARSENAL SEC 24...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 250 PM MDT SAT MAR 26 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL PUSH OVER THE AREA EARLY TONIGHT AHEAD OF THE NEXT UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT WILL CROSS THE FIRE AREA OVERNIGHT AND BE EAST OF COLORADO SHORTLY AFTER MIDDAY ON SUNDAY. THIS TROUGH WILL BRING THE THREAT OF SOME PRECIPITATION TO THE FIRE AREA OVERNIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AFTERNOON AFTER THE TROUGH PASSES. DRIER CONDITIONS RETURN ON MONDAY WITH ANOTHER CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION MONDAY NIGHT. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....31. MAX HUMIDITY........75%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6-11 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTH 8-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8800 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .SUNDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....52. MIN HUMIDITY........26%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5-6 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN WEST AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHWEST 12-18 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 13-24 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 6400-7400 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100. VERY GOOD AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .SUNDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 2400. MIN TEMPERATURE.....29. MAX HUMIDITY........80%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN SOUTH 6-7 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9-20 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. MAX TEMPERATURE.....52. MIN HUMIDITY........24%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHWEST 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5-16 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 9800-10600 FT AGL AFTER 1500. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100. VERY GOOD AFTER 1500. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1800. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 0600. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ARSENAL SEC 24. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/26-14 19 0 55 14 NW 9 1 10200 W 16 145846 V 03/26-15 25 0 56 13 NW 8 8 2 1 W30 10735 W 15 144686 V 03/26-16 25 0 56 13 N 7 1 10122 W 13 111299 V 03/26-17 25 0 54 14 NE 6 1 9510 W 9 77912 G 03/26-18 57 2 51 16 NE 6 6 3 1 W25 8897 W 6 44525 F 03/26-19 57 2 49 19 E 6 1 6017 N 6 30113 P 03/26-20 57 2 46 25 E 6 1 3136 NE 6 15701 P 03/26-21 79 2 42 33 E 7 7 3 1 SW16 255 E 6 1289 P 03/26-22 79 2 39 40 SE 8 1 246 SE 8 1575 P 03/26-23 79 2 37 46 SE 9 1 237 SE 9 1861 P 03/27-00 85 19 36 51 S 9 14 2 1 SW26 227 S 10 2146 P 03/27-01 85 19 34 57 S 9 1 258 S 10 2183 P 03/27-02 85 19 33 63 S 8 1 290 S 9 2219 P 03/27-03 84 19 33 68 S 7 7 2 1 W25 321 S 8 2256 P 03/27-04 84 19 32 71 S 7 1 317 S 8 2097 P 03/27-05 84 19 32 72 S 6 1 313 S 7 1938 P 03/27-06 73 10 32 73 S 6 6 2 1 W17 308 S 7 1779 P 03/27-07 73 10 33 75 S 6 1 814 S 6 3638 P 03/27-08 73 10 35 73 S 5 1 1320 S 6 5497 P 03/27-09 73 10 38 66 SW 5 5 3 1 W32 1826 SW 5 7356 P 03/27-10 73 10 41 57 SW 5 1 2916 SW 7 24344 P 03/27-11 73 10 44 48 NW 5 1 4006 W 10 41332 F 03/27-12 51 10 47 40 N 6 6 3 1 W35 5096 NW 13 58321 F 03/27-13 51 10 49 34 NW 8 1 6129 NW 15 81785 G 03/27-14 51 10 50 29 NW 12 1 7162 W 16 105250 V 03/27-15 61 10 51 26 NW 14 21 3 1 W30 8195 W 18 128715 V 03/27-16 61 10 50 26 NW 15 1 7220 W 21 124555 V 03/27-17 61 10 49 28 NW 16 1 6246 W 23 120394 V 03/27-18 54 10 48 30 NW 15 23 3 1 W32 5271 W 25 116234 V 03/27-19 54 10 46 35 W 13 1 3596 W 18 77758 G 03/27-20 54 10 43 43 S 10 1 1921 SW 12 39281 P 03/27-21 54 10 39 54 S 7 7 3 1 W18 246 S 3 805 P 03/27-22 54 10 37 64 S 7 1 212 S 5 821 P 03/27-23 54 10 35 71 S 7 1 178 S 6 836 P 03/28-00 58 8 34 76 S 7 7 3 1 W32 144 S 7 852 P 03/28-01 58 8 32 80 S 7 1 142 S 7 795 P 03/28-02 58 8 31 80 S 6 1 141 S 6 738 P 03/28-03 58 8 31 79 SW 6 6 2 1 W46 139 S 6 681 P 03/28-04 58 8 30 76 SW 6 1 289 SW 6 1244 P 03/28-05 58 8 30 72 SW 5 1 438 NW 5 1808 P 03/28-06 76 10 31 68 SW 5 5 3 1 W36 587 N 5 2371 P 03/28-07 76 10 31 65 SW 5 1 1192 N 6 6372 P 03/28-08 76 10 33 60 SW 5 1 1797 NW 6 10372 P 03/28-09 76 10 37 52 SW 5 5 2 1 W16 2402 NW 7 14373 P 03/28-10 76 10 40 45 SW 5 1 3552 NW 8 28885 P 03/28-11 76 10 44 39 W 5 1 4701 NW 10 43397 F 03/28-12 75 23 46 34 W 6 6 3 1 W43 5851 NW 12 57909 F 03/28-13 75 23 49 30 NW 8 1 7448 NW 14 91220 G 03/28-14 75 23 50 27 NW 9 1 9046 NW 15 124530 V 03/28-15 75 23 51 25 NW 12 17 3 1 W28 10643 W 17 157841 E 03/28-16 75 23 51 24 NW 13 1 10271 NW 16 145905 V 03/28-17 75 23 50 24 N 14 1 9899 NW 15 133968 V 03/28-18 73 30 48 25 N 14 21 3 1 W23 9527 NW 15 122032 V 03/28-19 73 30 46 26 N 13 1 7879 NW 13 93037 G 03/28-20 73 30 43 30 N 10 1 6232 N 10 64042 G 03/28-21 73 30 40 35 NE 8 8 3 1 NW15 4584 N 9 35047 P 03/28-22 73 30 38 39 N 7 1 3498 N 7 23973 P 03/28-23 73 30 36 43 N 7 1 2412 N 3 12899 P 03/29-00 73 30 35 47 N 7 7 3 1 W17 1327 CALM 1825 P 03/29-01 73 30 34 50 N 7 1 1392 NW 2 3102 P 03/29-02 73 30 33 53 NW 7 1 1457 NW 3 4379 P 03/29-03 73 30 33 55 W 7 7 3 1 W18 1522 NW 5 5656 P 03/29-04 73 30 32 57 W 7 1 1646 NW 3 4937 P 03/29-05 73 30 32 57 W 6 1 1770 W 2 4219 P 03/29-06 47 2 33 57 SW 6 6 3 1 NW21 1893 W 2 3500 P 03/29-07 47 2 33 56 W 5 1 2967 W 3 12907 P 03/29-08 47 2 35 51 W 5 1 4041 W 6 22314 P 03/29-09 47 2 39 44 W 3 3 3 1 NW22 5116 W 7 31721 P 03/29-10 47 2 42 38 W 3 1 7512 W 9 71058 G 03/29-11 47 2 46 32 NW 3 1 9909 NW 12 110395 V 03/29-12 32 8 48 28 N 3 3 3 1 NW24 12306 NW 14 149732 V 03/29-13 39 8 50 24 N 3 1 12265 NW 15 158343 E 03/29-14 45 8 52 21 N 5 1 12223 NW 16 166953 E 03/29-15 52 8 53 18 NW 5 5 3 1 W20 12181 NW 16 175564 E 03/29-16 59 8 52 17 NW 5 1 11217 W 15 147874 V 03/29-17 65 8 51 17 NW 6 1 10253 W 13 120185 V 03/29-18 72 4 49 18 NW 6 6 2 1 W25 9289 W 12 92495 G KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JASON FALLON REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110327.ARSEN.01/BOU