FNUS72 KMHX 272134
FWSMHX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SR8...NCFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
534 PM EDT SUN MAR 27 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1731 EDT ON MARCH 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL REMAIN STATIONARY SOUTH OF THE AREA THROUGH
EARLY MONDAY WITH AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE MOVING EAST ALONG IT.
ANOTHER ROUND OF WIDESPREAD RAIN IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY WITH
AROUND ONE QUARTER INCH OF PRECIPITATION EXPECTED. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD IN FROM THE NORTHWEST LATE MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
THEN SLIDE OFFSHORE TUESDAY NIGHT. LOW PRESSURE WILL APPROACH
FROM THE WEST WEDNESDAY AND CROSS THE REGION WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRIEFLY BUILD NORTH OF THE AREA THURSDAY.
ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE
REGION FRIDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN AND PATCHY
                    DRIZZLE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2300 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 500 TO 1000 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............94     100    99     98     98     97
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TEMP................41     41     41     39     38     37
RH..................96     96     96     93     92     92
20 FT WIND (MPH)....NE 8   NE 12  NE 10  NE 9   N 9    NE 9
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     15     15     15     15     10
HAINES INDEX........2      2      2      2      2      2

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.
MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............97     96     97     99     100    90
WEATHER COV.........LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE........RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TEMP................36     36     41     45     47     47
RH..................96     96     82     73     71     71
20 FT WIND (MPH)....NE 9   NE 9   NE 10  NE 12  N 12   N 12
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     15     15     15     15     15
HAINES INDEX........2      2      2      2      2      2

$$
FORECASTER...COLLINS
REQUESTED BY...DAVID GREATHOUSE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110327.SR8__.01/MHX