FNUS75 KBOU 280016 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ARSENAL SEC 24...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 606 PM MDT SUN MAR 27 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...A MOIST WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION ON MONDAY. PATCHY FOG WILL LIFT BY NOON...WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. THERE SHOULD BE ENOUGH INSTABILITY TO VERY GOOD SMOKE DISPERSAL IN THE AFTERNOON. A BETTER CHANCE OF RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW IS EXPECTED ON MONDAY NIGHT. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL ALLOW FOR DRIER CONDITIONS ON TUESDAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .MONDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY FOG UNTIL 1200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200. MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-54. MIN HUMIDITY........24-29%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST/SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTH 9-15 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN WEST 12-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 8800-9800 FT AGL AFTER 1400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1200...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1300...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1500...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .MONDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-34. MAX HUMIDITY........57-62%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 8-14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 4-12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHEAST AROUND 0 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......8200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2400. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD UNTIL 1900...FAIR 1900-2100 THEN POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%). MAX TEMPERATURE.....56. MIN HUMIDITY........16%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 1-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700...THEN 3200-4200 FT AGL UNTIL 0900...THEN 7600-8600 FT AGL UNTIL 1100...THEN 11400-12400 FT AGL UNTIL 1700...THEN 9800 FT AGL. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1100...THEN VERY GOOD. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 0600. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS AROUND 70. WEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ARSENAL SEC 24. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/27-18 41 3 50 37 W 20 31 3 1 W30 7738 W 21 142389 V 03/27-19 43 3 48 36 NW 15 1 5270 NW 15 95269 G 03/27-20 45 3 45 37 N 9 1 2801 N 9 48150 F 03/27-21 47 3 41 40 NE 5 5 3 1 W35 333 N 3 1031 P 03/27-22 49 3 39 42 N 3 1 290 NW 3 876 P 03/27-23 59 3 37 44 W 3 1 247 W 3 721 P 03/28-00 62 4 36 47 SW 3 3 3 1 W40 204 W 3 566 P 03/28-01 69 4 34 52 SW 2 1 221 SW 2 422 P 03/28-02 75 4 33 58 CALM 1 239 CALM 278 P 03/28-03 76 7 33 64 CALM 1 3 1 W40 256 CALM 133 P 03/28-04 84 7 32 67 CALM 1 398 SW 2 933 P 03/28-05 91 7 33 67 NW 2 1 540 NW 3 1733 P 03/28-06 84 9 33 65 N 2 2 3 1 W41 682 N 5 2533 P 03/28-07 84 9 33 63 N 2 1 881 NW 3 2653 P 03/28-08 84 9 35 56 E 2 1 1079 SW 3 2772 P 03/28-09 84 9 39 48 SE 2 2 3 1 W54 1278 S 2 2892 P 03/28-10 84 9 42 41 E 3 1 2557 S 6 19096 P 03/28-11 84 9 46 36 NE 5 1 3836 W 8 35300 P 03/28-12 75 27 49 32 N 6 6 3 1 W43 5115 W 12 51504 F 03/28-13 75 27 51 28 N 8 1 6789 W 15 97119 G 03/28-14 75 27 52 25 NW 9 1 8464 W 18 142733 V 03/28-15 75 27 53 23 NW 12 18 3 1 W37 10139 W 22 188348 E 03/28-16 75 27 53 22 NW 13 1 9509 W 18 156365 E 03/28-17 75 27 52 22 N 14 1 8879 NW 16 124381 V 03/28-18 84 42 49 24 N 14 22 3 1 W32 8249 NW 13 92398 G 03/28-19 84 42 47 25 N 13 1 6693 NW 12 71144 G 03/28-20 84 42 44 29 N 9 1 5137 N 10 49889 F 03/28-21 84 42 41 35 N 6 6 2 1 W30 3581 N 9 28635 P 03/28-22 84 42 38 39 NE 5 1 2509 N 7 19189 P 03/28-23 84 42 37 43 E 3 1 1437 NE 3 9743 P 03/29-00 73 30 35 46 E 2 2 2 1 W36 365 CALM 296 P 03/29-01 73 30 34 50 CALM 1 344 CALM 266 P 03/29-02 73 30 33 53 CALM 1 324 CALM 236 P 03/29-03 73 30 33 55 CALM 0 2 1 W36 304 CALM 205 P 03/29-04 73 30 32 57 CALM 1 396 CALM 269 P 03/29-05 73 30 33 57 CALM 1 489 CALM 332 P 03/29-06 47 2 33 57 NW 2 2 3 1 W21 581 CALM 396 P 03/29-07 47 2 33 55 NW 3 1 2631 NW 2 11569 P 03/29-08 47 2 35 51 NW 3 1 4681 NW 5 22743 P 03/29-09 47 2 39 44 NW 3 3 3 1 NW14 6731 NW 6 33916 P 03/29-10 47 2 43 37 N 3 1 9109 NW 8 77065 G 03/29-11 47 2 46 32 N 2 1 11486 NW 12 120214 V 03/29-12 32 8 49 27 NE 2 2 3 1 NW16 13863 NW 14 163362 E 03/29-13 32 8 51 23 NE 2 1 13089 NW 13 143977 V 03/29-14 32 8 52 20 NE 3 1 12315 NW 12 124592 V 03/29-15 32 8 53 18 NE 3 3 2 1 NW21 11541 NW 10 105206 V 03/29-16 32 8 53 17 NE 3 1 10713 NW 9 91161 G 03/29-17 32 8 52 16 NE 5 1 9885 W 9 77115 G 03/29-18 72 8 50 17 NE 5 5 2 1 NW25 9058 W 8 63069 G 03/29-19 72 8 48 19 NE 5 1 6175 SW 6 42395 F 03/29-20 72 8 45 23 E 5 1 3293 SE 5 21721 P 03/29-21 72 8 42 28 SE 5 5 2 1 W32 411 E 3 1047 P 03/29-22 72 8 39 33 SE 5 1 368 SE 3 1158 P 03/29-23 72 8 38 39 S 6 1 325 S 5 1269 P 03/30-00 80 8 37 44 S 6 6 2 1 W38 282 S 6 1380 P 03/30-01 80 8 35 49 S 6 1 275 S 6 1300 P 03/30-02 80 8 35 53 SW 5 1 267 SW 6 1221 P 03/30-03 80 8 34 56 SW 5 5 3 1 W36 259 SW 5 1141 P 03/30-04 80 8 34 59 SW 5 1 271 SW 6 1372 P 03/30-05 80 8 34 60 SW 6 1 283 W 7 1602 P 03/30-06 81 24 34 61 SW 6 6 2 1 W26 294 W 7 1832 P 03/30-07 81 24 34 61 W 6 1 504 W 7 2574 P 03/30-08 81 24 36 59 W 6 1 713 NW 6 3315 P 03/30-09 81 24 38 54 W 6 6 2 1 NW23 922 NW 5 4057 P 03/30-10 81 24 41 49 W 7 1 2440 NW 6 15574 P 03/30-11 81 24 44 44 NW 8 1 3958 NW 7 27091 P 03/30-12 82 24 46 39 NW 9 14 2 1 W32 5476 NW 8 38608 P 03/30-13 82 24 47 34 NW 10 1 6283 NW 10 59934 F 03/30-14 82 24 49 30 NW 12 1 7089 NW 13 81260 G 03/30-15 82 24 49 28 NW 13 20 3 1 W32 7896 NW 15 102586 V 03/30-16 82 24 49 25 NW 13 1 7841 NW 16 112164 V 03/30-17 82 24 48 25 NW 13 1 7786 NW 18 121742 V 03/30-18 60 10 48 24 NW 13 20 3 1 NW29 7731 NW 20 131320 V KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JASON FALLON REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110328.ARSEN.01/BOU