FNUS75 KBOU 282210 FWSBOU SPOT FORECAST FOR ARSENAL SEC 24...USFS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER CO 357 PM MDT MON MAR 28 2011 IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION...UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT PRODUCING 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW IN THE GRASSY AREAS BY TUESDAY MORNING. THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE TO THE EAST TUESDAY MORNING WITH JUST A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 1000. LITTLE IF ANY ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA WITH DECREASING CLOUDINESS THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. ...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG...GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS... .TUESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%). AREAS OF FOG UNTIL 1200. CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 1000. MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-54. MIN HUMIDITY........25-30%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 4-8 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 9000-10000 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0900...THEN FAIR UNTIL 1100...THEN GOOD UNTIL 1600...THEN FAIR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .TUESDAY NIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 2400...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY. MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-29. MAX HUMIDITY........76-81%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6-12 MPH UNTIL 0300...THEN SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 4-12 MPH UNTIL 2400...THEN SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER 2100. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR. HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW. .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN UNTIL 1000...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-57. MIN HUMIDITY........20-25%. 20-FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN WEST 15-21 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 4-12 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 8600-9600 FT AGL AFTER 1200. SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...FAIR UNTIL 1200...GOOD UNTIL 1400...THEN EXCELLENT. HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL 0600. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH. .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. TYPICAL SLOPE/VALLEY WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 0600 UNTIL 1800...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR ARSENAL SEC 24. +++ DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE FORECAST DATABASE. VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST. PLEASE PROVIDE FEEDBACK IF THE INFORMATION IN THIS TABLE HAS BEEN REPRESENTATIVE AND/OR USEFUL. +++ FORECAST SC PP TF RH 20FT G H L 10K MIXG TRAN VENTL AJTV VALID AT % % F % WIND S I A WIND HGT WIND RATE RATNG MPH T L MPH AGL MPH KT-FT 03/28-15 83 27 52 27 NW 8 8 3 1 W41 9907 W 16 138577 V 03/28-16 83 27 52 26 NW 9 1 8811 W 15 114719 V 03/28-17 83 27 52 25 NW 10 1 7716 W 13 90861 G 03/28-18 84 40 47 29 NW 10 16 3 1 W37 6620 W 12 67003 G 03/28-19 84 40 45 31 NW 9 1 4510 NW 10 45250 F 03/28-20 84 40 42 34 N 8 1 2399 NW 8 23497 P 03/28-21 84 40 38 39 N 7 7 3 1 W36 288 NW 7 1744 P 03/28-22 84 40 35 44 NW 7 1 253 NW 7 1537 P 03/28-23 84 40 34 49 NW 8 1 217 NW 7 1331 P 03/29-00 91 60 32 53 NW 8 8 3 1 W26 181 NW 7 1124 P 03/29-01 91 60 31 57 NW 8 1 184 NW 7 1183 P 03/29-02 91 60 30 60 NW 8 1 186 NW 8 1242 P 03/29-03 91 60 30 63 W 8 8 3 1 W31 189 NW 8 1301 P 03/29-04 91 60 29 65 NW 8 1 234 NW 8 1601 P 03/29-05 91 60 29 66 NW 7 1 279 NW 8 1900 P 03/29-06 56 20 30 66 NW 7 7 3 1 W24 324 NW 8 2200 P 03/29-07 56 20 30 64 NW 7 1 1542 NW 9 15894 P 03/29-08 56 20 33 57 N 6 1 2761 NW 12 29589 P 03/29-09 56 20 36 49 N 6 6 3 1 NW18 3979 NW 13 43284 F 03/29-10 56 20 40 42 N 6 1 5971 NW 12 57206 F 03/29-11 56 20 44 36 N 5 1 7963 NW 10 71127 G 03/29-12 44 8 47 32 N 5 5 2 1 NW17 9955 NW 10 85049 G 03/29-13 44 8 50 26 N 5 1 10106 NW 9 79536 G 03/29-14 44 8 51 22 NE 5 1 10257 W 8 74023 G 03/29-15 44 8 52 19 NE 5 5 2 1 W26 10408 W 8 68510 G 03/29-16 44 8 52 18 NE 5 1 9370 W 6 49819 F 03/29-17 44 8 50 18 E 5 1 8332 S 3 31128 P 03/29-18 38 0 47 19 E 6 6 3 1 W31 7294 S 2 12437 P 03/29-19 38 0 45 21 E 7 1 4943 S 5 9084 P 03/29-20 38 0 42 26 E 8 1 2592 SE 8 5732 P 03/29-21 38 0 38 33 E 10 16 2 1 W33 242 E 12 2379 P 03/29-22 38 0 35 40 SE 9 1 218 SE 10 2001 P 03/29-23 38 0 33 47 SE 8 1 195 SE 9 1623 P 03/30-00 69 0 31 54 SE 7 7 2 1 W36 172 SE 8 1245 P 03/30-01 69 0 30 61 S 6 1 164 S 7 1051 P 03/30-02 69 0 29 67 S 6 1 157 SW 6 858 P 03/30-03 69 0 28 71 SW 5 5 2 1 W37 150 SW 5 665 P 03/30-04 69 0 28 75 SW 3 1 157 SW 5 636 P 03/30-05 69 0 28 76 SW 3 1 164 SW 5 608 P 03/30-06 68 10 28 76 SW 3 3 2 1 NW30 170 SW 3 580 P 03/30-07 68 10 29 76 SW 3 1 298 SW 5 1207 P 03/30-08 68 10 32 69 SW 3 1 425 SW 5 1835 P 03/30-09 68 10 36 58 SW 5 5 2 1 NW33 552 W 5 2463 P 03/30-10 68 10 42 48 W 8 1 3013 W 9 43633 F 03/30-11 68 10 46 40 W 13 1 5474 W 14 84803 G 03/30-12 68 10 50 34 W 16 25 2 1 NW28 7936 W 18 125973 V 03/30-13 68 10 53 28 W 18 1 8587 NW 20 142854 V 03/30-14 68 10 55 24 NW 20 1 9238 NW 20 159735 E 03/30-15 68 10 56 22 NW 20 31 2 1 NW28 9889 NW 21 176617 E 03/30-16 68 10 56 20 NW 20 1 9208 NW 21 161892 E 03/30-17 68 10 54 20 W 20 1 8528 NW 20 147167 V 03/30-18 68 10 52 21 W 17 28 3 1 NW29 7847 NW 20 132442 V 03/30-19 68 10 50 22 W 13 1 5336 NW 15 88746 G 03/30-20 68 10 47 27 W 8 1 2826 W 9 45050 F 03/30-21 68 10 43 33 W 3 3 3 1 NW33 316 W 5 1354 P 03/30-22 68 10 41 40 W 3 1 262 W 5 1113 P 03/30-23 68 10 39 46 S 3 1 208 S 5 872 P 03/31-00 68 10 38 52 S 5 5 3 1 NW58 155 S 5 632 P 03/31-01 68 10 36 57 S 3 1 150 SW 3 499 P 03/31-02 68 10 36 61 W 2 1 146 W 2 366 P 03/31-03 68 10 35 64 CALM 1 3 1 NW48 142 NW 2 233 P 03/31-04 68 10 35 67 NW 2 1 171 NW 5 847 P 03/31-05 68 10 35 69 NW 6 1 200 N 8 1460 P 03/31-06 68 0 35 70 N 8 8 3 1 NW54 229 N 10 2074 P 03/31-07 68 0 36 70 N 9 1 1122 N 14 18700 P 03/31-08 68 0 39 65 N 10 1 2014 N 17 35326 P 03/31-09 68 0 42 57 N 12 18 3 1 NW40 2907 NW 21 51951 F 03/31-10 68 0 47 49 N 14 1 6067 NW 23 139939 V 03/31-11 68 0 51 42 NW 15 1 9226 NW 26 227926 E 03/31-12 47 0 54 37 NW 16 25 3 1 NW44 12386 NW 30 315913 E 03/31-13 47 0 57 32 NW 16 1 12415 NW 30 321284 E 03/31-14 47 0 59 28 NW 15 1 12444 NW 30 326654 E 03/31-15 47 0 60 24 NW 15 24 2 1 NW44 12473 NW 31 332025 E 03/31-16 47 0 60 22 NW 15 1 11789 NW 31 314447 E 03/31-17 47 0 58 22 NW 16 1 11105 NW 31 296870 E 03/31-18 29 0 56 22 NW 16 25 2 1 N52 10421 NW 31 279292 E KEY: FORECAST - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/ VALID AT SC - SKY COVER /PERCENT/ PP - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION /PERCENT/ TF - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/ RH - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/ 20FT WIND - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/ GST - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/ HI - HAINES INDEX LAL - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL 10K WIND - 10000 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/ MIXG HGT - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/ TRAN WIND - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/ VENTL RATE - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/ AJTV RATNG - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING P - POOR F - FAIR G - GOOD V - VERY GOOD E - EXCELLENT $$ FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER REQUESTED BY...JASON FALLON REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110328.ARSEN.02/BOU