FNUS75 KRIW 291459 CCA
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR BRETECHE CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY...CORRECTED IGNITION DATE
311 PM MDT MON MAR 28 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON MARCH 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT BRINGING A FEW
EVENING SNOW SHOWERS TO THE BURN AREA.  THE FLOW ALOFT WILL BEGIN TO
PICK UP OUT OF THE WEST ON TUESDAY.  A WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL BRING
ISOLATED SNOW/RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
WINDS INCREASE FURTHER TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.  THE CHANCE FOR
SNOW WILL INCREASE AS WELL.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...T.BAKER

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN/SNOW
                    SHOWERS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UP SLOPE 4 TO 8 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD (80000
                    KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN/SNOW
                    SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SNOW AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE 3 TO 6 MPH...OCCASIONALLY WEST 5 TO
                    10 MPH...WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL BY 2000.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (30000 KNOT-FT).

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SNOW IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UP SLOPE  4 TO 8 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AT 35 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (105000 KNOT-FT)

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND
SNOW. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WEST RIDGETOP WINDS AROUND 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 11 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...T.BAKER
REQUESTED BY...RXB2 MONONI
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110328.BRETE.01/RIW