FNUS72 KTAE 281409
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR TRIAGE FIRE...EGLIN AFB JACKSON GUARD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
1009 AM EDT MON MAR 28 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0823 CDT ON MARCH 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8835.

.DISCUSSION...WEAK SURFACE FRONT IS ANALYZED NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF
THE BURN SITE EARLY THIS MORNING. AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO THE
SOUTH OF THIS FRONT IS KEEPING RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS VERY HIGH.
A BRIEF SHOWER IS ALSO NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION THROUGH THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS. SURFACE FRONT IS FORECAST TO SLIP SLOWLY SOUTH
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND ALLOW WINDS TO COME AROUND TO A MORE
NORTHERLY DIRECTION. BEHIND THE FRONT...THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS
SHOULD ALSO COME TO AN END. FOR TUESDAY...THE FRONT IS FORECAST
TO REMAIN SOUTH OF OUR AREA...HOWEVER LOW LEVEL CLOUDS AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES WILL HELP KEEP RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS HIGH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-86 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTY SUNNY IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF A SHOWER THROUGH MIDDAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST OR NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTH
                    DURING THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1600...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO AROUND 3500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 4 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    8 PM BY MIDDAY...THEN BECOMING NORTH DURING
                    THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....40 TO 45.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........69     56     56     43     50
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
TEMP............72     74     77     79     81
RH..............93     84     76     67     59
20 FT WIND......W 2    NW 3   NW 4   NW 4   NW 4
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10
TRANSPORT WINDS.NW 3   NW 5   NW 7   NW 8   N 9

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST.
DISPERSION INDEX....AROUND 15.

TIME (CDT)      5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM
SKY (%).........50     57     57     60     62     62
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............79     74     71     68     65     63
RH..............62     69     72     77     83     81
20 FT WIND......NW 3   N 3    N 5    NE 6   NE 7   E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     15     15     15
TRANSPORT WINDS.N 8    NE 8   NE 10  NE 10  E 9    E 9

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. JUST A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER
                    OR SPRINKLE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 2500-3000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....AROUND 30.

$$
FORECASTER...BRYAN MROCZKA
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN PRICE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110328.TRIAG.01/TAE