FNUS75 KGJT 292029
FWSGJT

SPOT FORECAST FOR BROWNS PARK RX...NES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
229 PM MDT TUE MAR 29 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1420 MDT ON MARCH 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A STRONG JET ALOFT AND A FAST MOVING SYSTEM IN THIS FLOW WILL BRING
SNOW SHOWERS TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN SURROUNDING THE PLANNED BURN SITE
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS EXPECTED
IN THE VALLEY. THESE STRONGER WINDS ALOFT WILL LEAD TO A WELL MIXED
ATMOSPHERE AND GOOD SMOKE DISPERSAL OR CLEARING INDEX VALUES. HOWEVER
THIS WILL LEAD TO OCCASIONALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS WITH GUSTS INCREASING
TO NEAR 30 MPH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....NEAR 53 F.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (19900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (192900 KNOT-FT).
CLEARING INDEX......200 INCREASING TO 1050.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 26 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34 F.
MAX HUMIDITY........66-71%.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH A FEW GUSTS TO AROUND
                    30 MPH MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (205400 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO FAIR
                    (46200-54800 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
CLEARING INDEX......1050 DECREASING TO 450.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000-1500 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 30 MPH INCREASING TO 45 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

$$
FORECASTER...DENNIS PHILLIPS
REQUESTED BY...STEPHEN RUTTER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110329.BROWN.02/GJT