FNUS70 PHFO 301511
FWSHFO

SPOT FORECAST FOR NAPAU FIRE...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HONOLULU HI
511 AM HST WED MAR 30 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1843 HST ON MARCH 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MODERATE NORTHEASTERLY TRADE WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THURSDAY.
THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME MORE STABLE TODAY WHICH WILL
STRENGTHEN AND LOWER THE INVERSION OVER THE BURN AREA. SHOWER
ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN ISOLATED TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH DRIER
CONDITIONS AND FEWER CLOUDS EXPECTED FOR THURSDAY. DRY TRADE WIND
WEATHER WILL CONTINUE FRIDAY. THE TRADE WINDS WILL DIMINISH AND
BECOME MORE EAST TO EAST-SOUTHEAST OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL
ALLOW FOR DOWNSLOPE WINDS TO DEVELOP DURING THE NIGHTTIME HOURS
ALONG WITH A SURFACE BASED NOCTURNAL INVERSION. THE INVERSION MAY
TRAP SMOKE AND HAZE IN DENSE POCKETS BUT WILL SCOUR OUT BY MID
MORNING ONCE DAYTIME MIXING BEGINS. SHOWER ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN
ISOLATED OVER THE WEEKEND BUT AFTERNOON SKIES MAY BECOME MOSTLY
CLOUDY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. PATCHY
                    HAZE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4200 FT AGL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    BECOMING NORTHEAST 12 TO 17 WITH GUSTS TO 18 TO 22 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UNSHELTERED NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING INCREASING TO 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 14
                    TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    SHELTERED NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS. PATCHY HAZE.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING NORTH AND DECREASING TO AROUND 8 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UNSHELTERED NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH BECOMING
                    NORTH AND DECREASING TO 5 MPH OR LESS BY MIDNIGHT.
                    SHELTERED NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE LESS THAN 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. PATCHY HAZE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8 TO 10 MPH IN THE BECOMING
                    INCREASING TO 10 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS 25 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UNSHELTERED NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING
                    INCREASING TO 8 TO 10 MPH GUSTING TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    SHELTERED NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH GUSTING TO 15 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...DEJESUS
REQUESTED BY...TODD RANKIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20110329.NAPAU.01/HFO