FNUS73 KPAH 291255 FWSPAH SPOT FORECAST FOR DK PILES...USFWS CRAB ORCHARD NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 755 AM CDT TUE MAR 29 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 29. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... WITH THE APPROACH OF A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM...LIGHT RAIN WILL BEGIN TO MOVE INTO THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING HOURS BEFORE ENDING OVERNIGHT AS THE SYSTEM DEPARTS TO THE EAST. A PERIOD OF MAINLY DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY AS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE TAKES HOLD. RAIN WILL RETURN THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DIVES SOUTHEAST FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS INTO THE MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE.........44 AT IGNITION...MAX 50. RH..................55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1400-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-4200 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 14 MPH. TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM SKY (%).........CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN RN TEMP............44 46 47 47 48 49 48 48 47 RH..............55 51 49 49 49 50 54 56 58 20 FT WIND DIR..E E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE 20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 2.3 3.2 3.9 4.2 4.2 4.0 3.6 3.2 TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. TEMPERATURE.........MIN 36. RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. CWR.................58 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE MORNING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 15 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP............46 43 41 39 38 37 RH..............63 70 79 85 85 89 20 FT WIND......NE 5 NE 4 NE 3 NE 3 N 3 N 3 20 FT WIND GUST.10 5 5 5 5 5 MIX HGT (FT)....2700 2000 1800 1900 1700 900 TRANSPORT WIND..NE 15 NE 15 NE 15 NE 15 NE 12 NE 9 CWR.............60 60 60 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 .WEDNESDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 54. RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT. WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600-5000 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 13 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM SKY (%).........MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY MCLDY WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............37 45 51 53 RH..............85 62 50 44 20 FT WIND......N 3G5 NE 5G10 N 5G10 N 5G10 MIX HGT (FT)....500 3700 4600 5000 TRANSPORT WIND..N 10 N 10 NE 12 N 12 CWR.............0 0 0 0 HAINES INDEX....2 2 3 4 $$ FORECASTER...PRESLEY REQUESTED BY...ERIC PFEILSCHIFTER TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110329.DKPIL.01/PAH