BMBB91 KLIX 291121 STQLIX A SPOT FORECAST REQUEST HAS JUST BEEN RECEIVED FOR A PRESCRIBED FIRE NAMED "CPT O-16W" PRIORITY: IMMEDIATE DATE: 3/29/11 TIME: 0900 PROJECT NAME: CPT O-16W PROJECT TYPE: PRESCRIBED REQUESTING AGENCY: U.S. FWS REQUESTING OFFICIAL: Sami Gray REQUEST REASON: IAMS FAX: (228) 497-9612 EMERGENCY PHONE: (228) 219-3937 LOCATION: STATE: DLAT: 30.46399 DLON: 88.79956 EXPOSURE: flat FUEL TYPE: Shrub, Grass, Timber SHELTERING: PARTIAL BOTTOM ELEVATION: 5 TOP ELEVATION: 35 SIZE (ACRES): 211 WEATHER CONDITIONS AT PROJECT OR FROM NEARBY STATIONS SHCM6 ELEV=25 TIME=0551 WIND=N@2MAX4 T=59 TW=57 RH=89 TD= N/A TS629 ELEV=50 TIME=0546 WIND=NE@1MAX4 T=57 TW=57 RH=98 TD= N/A KBIX ELEV=33 TIME=0609 WIND=NNE@7 T=61 TW=59 RH=88 TD= MOSTLY CLOUDY TS982 ELEV=20 TIME=0541 WIND=NNE@4MAX7 T=60 TW=57 RH=85 TD= N/A ...REMARKS... Please provide all forecast elements in 1-hour increments for today, and 2-hour increments for tonight and tomorrow. Please wait until 12z sounding data is available, before finalizing your forecast. MAIN CONCERNS: 1. Smoke and fog impacts to visibility on I-10. 2. Allowable wind directions for this burn unit: E, SE, S, SW, W. NOTES AND QUESTIONS 1. According to the 0534 Area Forecast Discussion, there is a chance for thunderstorms to develop ahead of the frontal boundary. What are the chances of downdrafts or gravity winds causing a northerly wind today or tonight 2. According to the 0517 Digital-Tabular Forecast, there is a six-hour period between sunset and midnight with a 50 chance of rain. What is the fog potential during this timeframe NOTE: there is a body of water on the east side of the burn unitthis has been the location of smoke/fog incidents in the past. What are the chances of wind going calm during this timeframe 3. If the forecasted rain does not materialize, what is the fog potential for the period from midnight to sunrise What are the chances of wind going calm during this timeframe 4. What are the highest wind gusts we should expect today 5. According to the 0517 Digital-Tabular Forecast, there will be a 45-70 degree difference between the surface wind direction and the transport wind direction today. Please explain the reason for this difference. 6. What are the chances of a seabreeze causing the surface wind direction to become more southerly today RAWS LOCATIONS: SHCM6 8 mi. ESE TS629 12 mi. NNE KBIX 10 mi. SW TS982 5 mi. SSE TS982 is a portable RAWS now located at the Ocean Springs airport. ...WEATHER PARAMETERS REQUESTED... SKY / WEATHER: 1,1,1 TEMPERATURE: 1,1,1 RELATIVE HUMIDITY: 1,1,1 CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION: 1,1,1 MIXING HEIGHT: 1,1,1 TRANSPORT WINDS: 1,1,1 20 FOOT WIND: 1,1,1 SITE: LIX OFILE: 20110329.CPTO1.01 TIMEZONE: CST6CDT