FNUS73 KEAX 301511 FWSEAX SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 17...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO 1011 AM CDT WED MAR 30 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 CDT ON MARCH 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... OVERCAST SKIES WILL GRADUALLY ERODE...GIVING WAY TO AT LEAST PARTIAL SUNSHINE FOR THE REST OF THE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. HOWEVER... HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN ANCHORED DIRECTLY OVER THE BURN SITE FOR THE REST OF TODAY AND TONIGHT...KEEPING WINDS EITHER DEAD CALM OR VERY LIGHT FROM THE NORTHEAST AT LESS THAN 3 MPH. DESPITE THE COOL TEMPERATURES...A WEAKLY UNSTABLE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL ALLOW MIXING HEIGHTS TO RAPIDLY INCREASE WITH TEMPERATURE...AND SHOULD BE 3000 TO 4000 FEET AT IGNITION TIME WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 40S. .REST OF TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50. MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-5600 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 2 TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 2 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........70 71 72 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE TEMP............44 47 50 RH..............57 53 49 20 FT WIND......NE 1 E 1 E 1 20 FT WIND GUST. HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36. MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.30 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 1 TO 10 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........73 76 79 81 83 85 WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............46 43 41 40 39 37 RH..............57 63 69 73 77 82 20 FT WIND......SE 2 SE 3 SE 5 SE 6 S 6 S 7 20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 HAINES INDEX....4 4 3 3 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53. MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT. CHC OF WETTING RAIN.50 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-3600 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO AROUND 33 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING WEST AROUND 18 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........87 88 90 91 89 87 WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TEMP............36 41 45 50 51 51 RH..............87 80 74 68 66 68 20 FT WIND......S 7 S 9 S 12 S 13 SW 12 W 8 20 FT WIND GUST. 10 15 15 15 10 HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 2 2 3 $$ FORECASTER...BOOKBINDER REQUESTED BY...SAM VANOURNEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110330.UNIT1.01/EAX