FNUS74 KEPZ 301521
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR ECKELBURGER RX...SILVER CITY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
921 AM MDT WED MAR 30 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0915 MDT ON MARCH 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM
MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH MOVING IN FROM THE NORTHWEST WILL TRACK
ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON...BRINGING VERY DRY AIR AND
GUSTY WINDS. THOUGH WINDS MAY BE MARGINAL FOR RED FLAG CONDITIONS
THIS AFTERNOON...THE LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS ALONG WITH WITH
VERY HIGH OR GREATER FIRE DANGER RATINGS WILL CAUSE CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. CONTINUED VERY DRY
AND QUITE WARM THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT MOVES
OVER THE REGION...BUT WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT. A STRONGER
DISTURBANCE PASSING TO OUR NORTH WILL CAUSE BREEZY TO WINDY
CONDITIONS OVER SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO THIS WEEKEND WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY ON SUNDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 3 TO 8 INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 12 TO 20
                    MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........GOOD (66000 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
MAX HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH DIMINISHING TO AROUND
                    5 KTS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000-8200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-800 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 13 KNOTS.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........4-9 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT EARLY...THEN NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 14 KNOTS.
VENTILATION.........GOOF (74000 KNOT-FT).

$$
FORECASTER...PARK
REQUESTED BY...KIMBERLY EMERSON
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110330.ECKEL.01/EPZ