FNUS72 KMHX 301324 FWSMHX SPOT FORECAST FOR 8 1 7 PEA ISLAND...USFWS ALLIGATOR RIVER NWR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC 924 AM EDT WED MAR 30 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 EDT ON MARCH 30. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... A SERIES OF WET LOW PRESSURE CENTERS WILL MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG A STALLED FRONT OFF THE COAST TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD BRIEFLY NORTH INTO THE AREA FRIDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA SUNDAY AND CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE THE WEATHER AS IT MOVES OFFSHORE ON MONDAY. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN THIS MORNING... THEN PERIODS OF RAIN THIS AFTERNOON. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57. MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING TO 3100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 14 TO 22 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST 28 TO 33 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).............75 86 97 100 99 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE WEATHER TYPE........RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP................51 54 54 52 50 RH..................56 54 59 71 86 20 FT WIND (MPH)....E 19 E 18 E 19 E 20 E 19 20 FT WIND GUST.....30 30 30 30 30 HAINES INDEX........4 3 3 2 2 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN THE EVENING. AREAS OF DRIZZLE AFTER MIDNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49. MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH LATE. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 25 TO 33 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 20 TO 22 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM SKY (%).............98 97 95 92 90 90 WEATHER COV.........DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE WEATHER TYPE........RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP................50 51 52 53 52 52 RH..................93 100 100 100 100 100 20 FT WIND (MPH)....E 19 E 19 SE 14 S 12 SW 14 NW 14 20 FT WIND GUST.....30 30 25 20 20 20 HAINES INDEX........2 2 2 3 3 3 .THURSDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND AREAS OF DRIZZLE EARLY IN THE MORNING. RAIN LIKELY EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55. MIN HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT. 20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1900 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 24 MPH. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM SKY (%).............90 90 87 82 79 84 WEATHER COV.........CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC LIKELY LIKELY WEATHER TYPE........RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN TEMP................51 49 50 52 52 51 RH..................100 100 96 89 89 93 20 FT WIND (MPH)....NW 14 NW 18 NW 17 NW 15 NW 12 N 10 20 FT WIND GUST.....25 30 25 25 20 15 HAINES INDEX........3 2 2 2 2 2 $$ FORECASTER...MERRELL REQUESTED BY...HELEN CZERNIK TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110330.817PE.01/MHX