FNUS74 KMAF 010415
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR BULLIS RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1115 PM CDT THU MAR 31 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 2320 MDT ON MARCH 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 8 PM CDT SATURDAY...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
POOR RH RECOVERY IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AS DRY CONDITIONS REMAIN
INTACT. ANOTHER VERY DRY AFTERNOON FRIDAY IS IN STORE AS ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND DRY AIR RESULT IN SINGLE DIGIT RH/S.
DESPITE THE WARMER TEMPERATURES...20 FOOT WINDS STILL REMAIN
AT OR LESS THAN 10 MPH. THE LACK OF WIND WILL KEEP THE
VENTILATION IN THE FAIR CATEGORY ON FRIDAY. FIRE WEATHER
CONCERNS WILL MAKE AN ABRUPT INCREASE SATURDAY AND A RED FLAG
WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON UNTIL 7 PM MDT. INCREASING WINDS
ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AND FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS REMAIN HIGH.
A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT SUNDAY.

.REST OF TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50-53.
MAX HUMIDITY........26-31 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........RIDGES... NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
                    SLOPE... DOWNSLOPE 4 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

TIME (MDT)      11 PM        3 AM
SKY (%).........CLEAR        CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE
TEMP............59           57
RH..............20           22
20 FT WIND DIR..W            NW
20 FT WIND SPD..16           13
20 FT WIND GUST.20           15
MIX HGT (FT)....200          100
TRANS WIND DIR..NW           NW
TRANS WIND SPD..8            9
VENT CAT........POOR         POOR
HAINES INDEX....5            5

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80-84.
MIN HUMIDITY........7-10 PCT.
WIND (20 FT)........RIDGE TOP...NORTHWEST 5-9 MPH EARLY...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
                    SLOPE...TERRAIN DOMINATED UNDER 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO FAIR (45200 KNOT-FT).

TIME (MDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
TEMP............56           69           80
RH..............22           12           8
20 FT WIND DIR..NW           NW           SW
20 FT WIND SPD..10           9            8
20 FT WIND GUST.
MIX HGT (FT)....100          3900         7100
TRANS WIND DIR..NW           N            N
TRANS WIND SPD..9            6            5
VENT CAT........POOR         POOR         POOR
HAINES INDEX....4            4            5

$$

FORECASTER...PLATT
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110331.BULLI.03/MAF