FNUS73 KPAH 310213
FWSPAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUFORD MOUNTAIN...MDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
913 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MARCH 31.

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A BRIEF PERIOD OF MAINLY DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST INTO EARLY
THURSDAY AS CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE TAKES HOLD. A CHANCE OF RAIN WILL
RETURN THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY AS A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DIVES
SOUTHEAST FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST INTO THE OHIO VALLEY.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........46 AT IGNITION...MAX 51.
RH..................58 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...THEN
                    SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3800-4400 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  CDY CDY
WEATHER COV.....    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............46  48  49  50  50  50  49
RH..............58  52  50  48  47  50  53
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   3   3   4   4   4
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.2 4.4 4.4 4.4 4.2 4.0 3.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.6   6   6   7   8   9   9
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   3   3

$$
FORECASTER...YORK
REQUESTED BY...BOB GILLESPIE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110331.BUFOR.01/PAH