FNUS73 KUNR 301821
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MORU PILES...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1221 PM MDT WED MAR 30 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON MARCH 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...A FAST MOVING STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE REGION
TODAY...AND CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS WILL BE LIKELY
TONIGHT AS THE SYSTEM PASSES THROUGH. TOMORROW ANOTHER WEAKER
SYSTEM WILL BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 40S. SNOW IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH TOMORROW. CHANCES FOR
RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY NIGHT WITH SOME MIXING
WITH OR CHANGING TO SNOW POSSIBLE. LITTLE SNOW ACCUMULATION IS
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 33.
RH..................MAX 80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 TO
                    12 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................56 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 TO 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 17 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 35 TO
                    41 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........41 AT IGNITION...MAX 44.
RH..................64 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 16 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 18
                    MPH.
CWR.................25 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 TO 4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 29 TO 38 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD LATE IN THE
                    MORNING.

$$
FORECASTER...CALDERON
REQUESTED BY...AAREN NELLEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110331.MORUP.01/UNR