FNUS73 KDDC 011444 FWSDDC SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 12A...USFWS NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 944 AM CDT FRI APR 1 2011 FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 01. IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. .DISCUSSION... TODAY...LIGHT NORTH WINDS WILL INCREASE BY NOON TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH LIKELY BETWEEN NOON AND 4 PM. THESE WINDS WILL THEN BEGIN TO SLOWLY SUBSIDE AFTER 4 PM AND FALL BACK TO AROUND 10 MPH BY 7 PM. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND WITH VERY WARM TEMPERATURES...STRONG WINDS...AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES. CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE MONDAY IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT WITH COOLER AND MORE MOIST AIR SPREADING ACROSS KANSAS. OUTDOOR BURNING IS DISCOURAGED ALL WEEKEND LONG. .TODAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MAX 67. RH..................52 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 33 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6400-8200 FT AGL. TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. TIME (CDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........45 21 18 13 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............54 61 66 67 RH..............52 39 34 33 20 FT WIND......NW 10 N 13 NW 15 NW 13 20 FT WIND GUST.20 25 20 15 EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 11 N 13 NW 14 NW 12 WIND GUST..20 25 25 15 HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 5 .TONIGHT... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MIN 42. RH..................MAX 79 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE EVENING. WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH EARLY IN THE EVENING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-2000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE EVENING. TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING. TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM SKY (%).........10 27 29 31 33 34 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............64 55 51 48 46 44 RH..............35 49 56 65 76 79 20 FT WIND......NW 5 S 4 S 4 S 5 S 4 S 5 20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5 EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 5 S 4 S 4 S 5 S 4 S 5 WIND GUST.. 5 5 5 HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 .SATURDAY... SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). TEMPERATURE.........MAX 77. RH..................MIN 35 PERCENT. EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 19 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. CWR.................0 PERCENT. HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-4400 FT AGL LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 3700-5500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2000 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 38 MPH. TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM SKY (%).........35 33 32 30 36 41 WEATHER COV..... WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE TEMP............42 49 60 69 75 77 RH..............82 66 51 44 37 36 20 FT WIND......S 6 S 9 S 12 S 14 S 15 S 14 20 FT WIND GUST.10 20 30 30 35 30 EYE LEVEL WIND..S 6 S 9 S 12 S 14 S 15 S 14 WIND GUST..10 20 30 30 35 30 HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 4 4 .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY... WARMER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH. .MONDAY... MUCH COOLER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH. .TUESDAY... MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 11 MPH. $$ FORECASTER...BURGERT REQUESTED BY...DAVID MCCAULEY TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20110401.UNIT1.01/DDC