FNUS73 KDVN 011414
FWSDVN

SPOT FORECAST FOR VIRGINIA GROVE...LOUISA COUNTY CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
914 AM CDT FRI APR 1 2011

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON APRIL 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH THROUGH THE REGION THIS MORNING WITH
RAIN MOVING EAST WITH IT. BEHIND THE FRONT...WEST WINDS WILL INCREASE
THROUGH MIDDAY TO 12 TO 18 MPH. THEN THE WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHWESTERLY
AND BRISK THIS AFTERNOON RANGING FROM 15 TO 30 MPH UNDER PARTLY SUNNY TO
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. THERE WILL BE A LOW CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED SHOWER
TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........48 AT IGNITION...MAX 56.
RH..................60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDS WEST AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    WEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 17 TO 23 MPH BY NOON.
WIND SHIFT..........WEST BECOMING NORTHWEST BETWEEN 1030 AM AND NOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3400-5000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    AROUND 10700 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 8 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 35 TO
                    41 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............46     50     53     54     53
RH..............60     50     52     40     42
EYE LEVEL WIND..290/12 290/17 290/21 300/22 300/18
EYE LEVEL GUST..20     25     30     30     25
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 35.
RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 29 TO 36 MPH BECOMING WEST 8 TO 10
                    MPH LATE.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. NORTHWEST WIND 8 TO 13 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...JDH
REQUESTED BY...KATIE HAMMOND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20110401.VIRGI.01/DVN